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Arkansas-Auburn Vegas Line

Started by hogcard1964, October 18, 2017, 07:51:22 am

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hogcard1964

Currently Auburn -13

I like the Hogs' chances.

DLUXHOG

Quote from: hogcard1964 on October 18, 2017, 07:51:22 am
Currently Auburn -13

I like the Hogs' chances.

Thank you!  "All for the Hogs....  Hogs for all!!  WPS!"
"Don't go in anyplace you'd be ashamed to die in..."
(you might get this someday)

 

hawganatic

I feel a lot better about this game than I did a couple of weeks ago.  I wouldn't put money on us winning, but I think we are going to be a lot more competitive than most of us thought after the SC game.

jkstock04

Where are you seeing this at? I see -16
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

lahawg1

Quote from: hogcard1964 on October 18, 2017, 07:51:22 am
Currently Auburn -13

I like the Hogs' chances.

Lol......After getting beat by LSU I would expect Gus to run the score up as much as possible. This one is gonna be ugly

go hogues

Quote from: lahawg1 on October 18, 2017, 08:06:50 am
Lol......After getting beat by LSU I would expect Gus to run the score up as much as possible. This one is gonna be ugly
Quote from: Leadbelly on September 24, 2019, 09:05:22 pm<br />Dude, our back has been against the wall so long, we are now on the other side of the wall!<br />

nwahogfan1

Is your optimism coming from LSU beating Auburn last week or our limiting Bama to 41 points?

I am not feeling it.  Gus and Auburn has always played well against us.  He OWNS CBB so until I see something different I am thinking more of the same.  Right now I would take Auburn and give up the points.

jst01

Auburn's offense puts skill guys in motion, fakes the ball to runners, reads LB's reactions to decide where to put the ball. Its goal is to make the defense take a step in the wrong direction and then it's too late. When our defense is already slow, it's going to be even worse with the misdirection and play action fakes. Could get ugly. I think Auburn covers pretty easily.

HotlantaHog

I don't bet against or for the Hogs because I get swayed by emotion, plus they are all college kids.

However, if I did bet, I would bet on Auburn to cover, probably easily. Hope I am wrong.

jkstock04

Ya other than blind homer faith I'm not seeing any strategic reason to believe the Hogs cover a 16 point spread in this game. If you think about our offense, defense, and special teams it's impossible to point to any real advantages we will have.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

MissippHog

Quote from: jst01 on October 18, 2017, 08:16:43 am
Auburn's offense puts skill guys in motion, fakes the ball to runners, reads LB's reactions to decide where to put the ball. Its goal is to make the defense take a step in the wrong direction and then it's too late. When our defense is already slow, it's going to be even worse with the misdirection and play action fakes. Could get ugly. I think Auburn covers pretty easily.
I guess one way to look at it is that our guys shouldn't be too far out of position  ;)

JaketheSnake

I do not like the matchup vs Auburn.  Their DL and offensive speed do not bode well for us. I'd love to put Gus in his place and inch him higher on the hot seat lost, but I'd bet Auburn all day on this.  However, I never bet on the hogs.

onebadrubi

It's not -13 anywhere I know of, and tracking sites show all -15.5 too -16.5 auburn favored

 

hogcard1964

Quote from: lahawg1 on October 18, 2017, 08:06:50 am
Lol......After getting beat by LSU I would expect Gus to run the score up as much as possible. This one is gonna be ugly

Not here.  If it was in Auburn, I'd feel worse about it.

HognotinMemphis

Vegas usually accurate on Arkansas games. Today's paper says Auburn by 15.5 I predicted a 20+ pt win by Auburn because they look like men playing our children in every area: both lines, LBs, DBs, RBs, QB, WRs, and special teams. May have them edged out at TE!

This won't be 56-3 but it will be basically Auburn stomping us into a mudhole. They will score anywhere from 35 to 50 and Hogs will score anywhere from zero to 20.
I don't want you to agree with me because you're weak. I want you to agree with me because you know I'm right.
______________________
President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans and to heal the planet. My promise is to help you and your family." - Mitt Romney

Großer Kriegschwein

It's never a good thing when your "good" feeling about a game is based on someone else's suck and not on the performance of your own team.
This is my non-signature signature.

hogsanity

October 18, 2017, 09:53:06 am #16 Last Edit: October 18, 2017, 10:16:19 am by hogsanity
Quote from: HoginMemphis on October 18, 2017, 09:50:39 am
Vegas usually accurate on Arkansas games. Today's paper says Auburn by 15.5 I predicted a 20+ pt win by Auburn because they look like men playing our children in every area: both lines, LBs, DBs, RBs, QB, WRs, and special teams. May have them edged out at TE!

This won't be 56-3 but it will be basically Auburn stomping us into a mudhole. They will score anywhere from 35 to 50 and Hogs will score anywhere from zero to 20.

Hogs covered last week. Game went off at AR +36.5, for whetever that's worth.
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

userpick

Please tell me where I can find -13. Christmas will be here early.

smb

Quote from: hogcard1964 on October 18, 2017, 07:51:22 am
Currently Auburn -13

I like the Hogs' chances.
I don't like their chances.
GeorgiaHOG

The Kig

Quote from: Großer Kriegschwein on October 18, 2017, 09:52:28 am
It's never a good thing when your "good" feeling about a game is based on someone else's suck and not on the performance of your own team.

Exactly.  Not to mention that LSU usually puts up a pretty good fight in Death Valley, so not really a huge surprise...if you discount them looking completely past Troy. 

Barn's DL is considered to be on par with Bama's.  Our OL...well, I don't wanna get a ban. 

Gus has no issues with running up the score on us where Saban at least has some class.  Barn needs to make a statement after last week's loss.  We have yet to make anything resembling a statement. 
Poker Porker

onebadrubi

Quote from: userpick on October 18, 2017, 09:58:26 am
Please tell me where I can find -13. Christmas will be here early.

Haha!  I'd love to find -13 and take some +17 that might be there with a little juice come Saturday.

I thinknArkansas covers a +17

Vantage 8 dude

Quote from: lahawg1 on October 18, 2017, 08:06:50 am
Lol......After getting beat by LSU I would expect Gus to run the score up as much as possible. This one is gonna be ugly
Oh I can totally concur. Not only is there the usual "no love lost" angle, but ole Gus is beginning to take some SERIOUS heat down in Awbarn by the fans who are most definitely NOT happy with how things fell apart last week in Baton Rouge. Look for Gus and the team to come into DWRRS with a MAJOR attitude toward trying to plow us over, under and through. If they get the chance they will NOT be merciful.

BTW those lovely folks "down on the plains" know have some small inkling of what we've seen time after time over the past several years against folks such as TAM (numerous second half collapses), Missouri and VT last year. I suppose one could even include the TCU game if one was of a mind to.

carolinahogger

Gus > BB, Auburn covers.  And I'm not a fan of Gus.

DLUXHOG

Quote from: carolinahogger on October 18, 2017, 10:21:53 am
Gus > BB, Auburn covers.  And I'm not a fan of Gus.

Gus<> BB, Hogs romp on Auburn.  And, I'm a Hog fan...
"Don't go in anyplace you'd be ashamed to die in..."
(you might get this someday)

 

shown006

If Arkansas covers.....a big IF, then they will have covered their second game this year, and 2-5 ATS based on the final number at kickoff.  New Mexico State was close to being a cover, but went off at Arkansas minus 19. 
WPS!

hogsanity

Quote from: shown006 on October 18, 2017, 02:26:42 pm
If Arkansas covers.....a big IF, then they will have covered their second game this year, and 2-5 ATS based on the final number at kickoff.  New Mexico State was close to being a cover, but went off at Arkansas minus 19. 

I had them at -17 that day.
People ask me what I do in winter when there is no baseball.  I will tell you what I do. I stare out the window, and I wait for spring.

"Anything goes wrong, anything at all, your fault, my fault, nobodies fault, I'm going to blow your head off."  John Wayne in BIG JAKE

BigBrandonAllenFan

Quote from: hogsanity on October 18, 2017, 09:53:06 am
Hogs covered last week. Game went off at AR +36.5, for whetever that's worth.

Actually Arkansas didnt cover. The line was 30 until game day when it was announced Allen would not play, at which time some Vegas houses shifted to 35+.

Arkansas is actually 0-6 against the opening lines this season.

BigBrandonAllenFan

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 18, 2017, 08:04:56 am
Where are you seeing this at? I see -16

Most all Vegas houses listed at Vegas Insider opened at 15 1/2 and are still holding that mark.

shown006

Quote from: BigBrandonAllenFan on October 18, 2017, 02:33:54 pm
Actually Arkansas didnt cover. The line was 30 until game day when it was announced Allen would not play, at which time some Vegas houses shifted to 35+.

Arkansas is actually 0-6 against the opening lines this season.
New Mexico State opened at Arkansas -17 and went off at -19.  Arkansas won by 18, so they are 1-5 against opening lines and closing lines.
WPS!

widespreadsooie

I'm not really sure what line is used to figure ATS records but I would think the closing line would be most accurate to use for ATS records.

Hogsenburg

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 18, 2017, 08:27:15 am
Ya other than blind homer faith I'm not seeing any strategic reason to believe the Hogs cover a 16 point spread in this game. If you think about our offense, defense, and special teams it's impossible to point to any real advantages we will have.

Outside of those three things though I think we are pretty solid

Vantage 8 dude

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 18, 2017, 08:04:56 am
Where are you seeing this at? I see -16
Dang, we'd better start the game and I mean QUICK!! Otherwise we'll be so far behind by the time Saturday rolls around we'll need to score on every possession of the game to have any (slim) chance.  >:( :-X

onebadrubi

Quote from: widespreadsooie on October 18, 2017, 02:42:51 pm
I'm not really sure what line is used to figure ATS records but I would think the closing line would be most accurate to use for ATS records.

Closing line is what is used. 

And by the way, Arkansas was -31 against bama by thursday.  Friday it was well into the 30's and sitting at 36 Saturdah. morning. 

Cotton

Quote from: userpick on October 18, 2017, 09:58:26 am
Please tell me where I can find -13. Christmas will be here early.
Same. Throw the mortgage on that one. Bloodbank.
"Who got a Scantron for Ryan Mallet?"  - Ryan Mallet, 2009

Razorbacks in Mexico

Ponderin' SUX

jkstock04

Quote from: Vantage 8 dude on October 18, 2017, 03:34:17 pm
Dang, we'd better start the game and I mean QUICK!! Otherwise we'll be so far behind by the time Saturday rolls around we'll need to score on every possession of the game to have any (slim) chance.  >:( :-X
Ya...because these Vegas game lines are NEVER accurate right? Lol

I should pull up that thread in the preseason where someone posted  the over/under win total set by the Sportsbook's. They set us at either 6 or 6.5. Remember how that was "easy money on the over?"

Everyone just couldn't believe how dumb the Sportsbooks could be setting Arkansas' win total that low. So now we sit..2-4 on the year. Auburn heading to town as a 16 point favorite. We have zero wins over a power 5 team to date.

So.....if I had listened to the homers back in August and bet my life savings on the Hogs over 6.5 wins regular season would that have been the pretty smart? How's that bet looking today?

Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

M L (bassplayer)

One things for sure, if we pull out a sneaker-win, Gus will be toast. They are wanting him out after the LSU meltdown.
;)

12247

I saw the horrible offensive play calling by Auburn against LSU in the second half.  I thought Bret had took over their play calling.  If that continues, hell, we could actually win.  Read this week where Gus was bragging on the OC.  If he really feels that way, he should be fired.  You really don't need an OC to run it 50 percent of the time over right or left guard and then throw it 25 to 40 yards downfield into covered WRs.

If they play real stupid, we got a chance.  If not, we are gonna get bitch slapped.

lahawg1

Quote from: hogcard1964 on October 18, 2017, 07:51:22 am
Currently Auburn -13

I like the Hogs' chances.

Do you still like the Hogs chances??????

HognotinMemphis

Quote from: HoginMemphis on October 18, 2017, 09:50:39 am
Vegas usually accurate on Arkansas games. Today's paper says Auburn by 15.5 I predicted a 20+ pt win by Auburn because they look like men playing our children in every area: both lines, LBs, DBs, RBs, QB, WRs, and special teams. May have them edged out at TE!

This won't be 56-3 but it will be basically Auburn stomping us into a mudhole. They will score anywhere from 35 to 50 and Hogs will score anywhere from zero to 20.
Oh, I see why this thread was moved to SEC Sports forum. Because I nailed the game with my prediction. Envy.
I don't want you to agree with me because you're weak. I want you to agree with me because you know I'm right.
______________________
President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans and to heal the planet. My promise is to help you and your family." - Mitt Romney

HognotinMemphis

Quote from: hogsanity on October 18, 2017, 09:53:06 am
Hogs covered last week. Game went off at AR +36.5, for whetever that's worth.
It was worth nothing.
I don't want you to agree with me because you're weak. I want you to agree with me because you know I'm right.
______________________
President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans and to heal the planet. My promise is to help you and your family." - Mitt Romney

widespreadsooie

Quote from: HoginMemphis on October 22, 2017, 03:36:24 pm
Oh, I see why this thread was moved to SEC Sports forum. Because I nailed the game with my prediction. Envy.

Sick call bro

joeyself

Quote from: HoginMemphis on October 18, 2017, 09:50:39 am


This won't be 56-3 but it will be basically Auburn stomping us into a mudhole. They will score anywhere from 35 to 50 and Hogs will score anywhere from zero to 20.

Frame this one for your wall.  Well done.

JcS
"Real failure always starts with someone doing something stupid."  Anna Conroy in SLINGS AND ARROWS

HognotinMemphis

I don't want you to agree with me because you're weak. I want you to agree with me because you know I'm right.
______________________
President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans and to heal the planet. My promise is to help you and your family." - Mitt Romney