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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 335156 times)

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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5000 on: October 05, 2013, 06:45:56 pm »

thank you oregon. Just hit my biggest play of the weekend because they are a football team that doesn't mind scoring.

Oregon -24.5 1st half  3* Win
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5001 on: October 05, 2013, 09:11:19 pm »

I know I'm late, but added

LSU -2.5 2nd half  1*
South Carolina -10 2nd half  1*
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5002 on: October 05, 2013, 10:42:33 pm »

Think I went 5-5 today, gonna have to do some math when I'm sober to get all figures in an accurate sense. Just can't believe that UGA/TN under didn't hit. Unbelievable really.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5003 on: October 05, 2013, 11:24:02 pm »

So many last minute bets today. Finished up 7 damn dollars haha.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5004 on: October 06, 2013, 12:16:04 am »

So many last minute bets today. Finished up 7 damn dollars haha.

Haha, that's awesome
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5005 on: October 06, 2013, 01:59:36 am »

 
So many last minute bets today. Finished up 7 damn dollars haha.

That 7 dollars may mean you had the best day today.

Every year, there is that one day where nothing goes right, chalk loses straight up, and your best bets of the day make you look like you have no business investing.

Today was that day for most of us. Wake forest couldn't cover the press against air this year but today, they not only covered, they won SU. That sums it up.

If you broke even today, you were successful. If you did better than that, you are buying dinner for those of us who got reamed.

The good news for me is that it was only my 1 unit plays that hurt me. My 3 unit plays split. So financially, I'm not hurt. Record wise, my 65% clip is gonna be tarnished. And that hurts.

1-4 today

6-5 week total.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5006 on: October 06, 2013, 09:16:03 am »

Panthers -2   4 units
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5007 on: October 06, 2013, 10:40:10 am »

Teaser....
Broncos  -2.5 &
Saints  +4, 2u
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5008 on: October 06, 2013, 11:42:17 am »

10-6 yesterday on singles. Parlays not so much. Time to cut out some parlays. They are like crack to me.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5009 on: October 06, 2013, 11:47:57 am »

Pats -1
Seahawks -3
Eagles +1

All 1.5 units
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5010 on: October 06, 2013, 12:33:27 pm »

Well, since my horrible week 2 weeks ago, I've bounced back record wise, but because my units are based on %'s and not a set amount, my bankroll is slower to come around.

I went 9-4 this week:

Oregon 1st half -24.5 3*  Win +$144
Oregon -38.5 2*  Win +$72
UCLA -6 2* Win +$72
Miami -5.5 1*  Win +$36
Bowling Green -26 1* Loss -$39
Washington St -1 1*  Win +$36
Stanford -7  1*  Loss -$39
UCLA -1.5 2nd half  2*  Win +$72
over 34.5 1*  Loss -$39
 LSU -7 2*  Win +$72
Northern Illinois -8. 1*  Win +$36
LSU -2.5 2nd half  1*  Win +$36
South Carolina -10 2nd half  1*   Loss -$39

30-29-4  $1072   -64% ROI

That pushes my 2 week run to 13-6-1, but my % is at a dismal 48%. I also hit both of my teasers that paid me a combined 5 to 2 on my money.

Sorry to everyone who had one of THOSE days, I know the feeling. There's always next week.

I will be playing one NFL game, the 49'ers -4.5
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5011 on: October 06, 2013, 01:01:01 pm »

3 units each on:

BOWLING GREEN -24½-120 (B+½) L
VIRGINIA TECH -7-125 (B+½) W
NEW MEXICO -8-120 (B+½) W
TOLEDO -19½-120 (B+½) W
UTEP +1½-120 (B+½) L
STANFORD -6½-118 L
BUFFALO U -13½-110 W
OKLAHOMA -9½-125 (B+½) L

Yep, one of those weekends.  I went 4-4 to break even for the week (lost the juice).  That puts me at 25-14 (64%) on the year for +7.7.  It was a frustrating weekend.  Three of my 4 losses had the spreads covered into the 4th quarter, and if I had just stuck with my original 6 leans, I would've gone 4-2.  Oh well, I have another weekend's worth of data, and I can't complain too much if my worst weekend through week 6 is breaking even.  We'll get'em next week!
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5012 on: October 06, 2013, 01:01:42 pm »

Added Broncos 4 units per Jeff!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5013 on: October 06, 2013, 01:18:26 pm »

I also need to correct a post from yesterday.

I incorrectly put Jeff's play on ND at -7 instead of the actual line of ND +7. Anyone can look back at the line and see it was a simple typo.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5014 on: October 06, 2013, 01:23:11 pm »

Added Broncos 4 units per Jeff!

Got the same tip, but I can't get it less than -9. Like he said, that's a funny number, not a fun number.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5015 on: October 06, 2013, 01:53:57 pm »

7-5 (+6u less juice) yesterday:

LSU -9.5...W 2u
BAY -27.5...W 1u
Zona St. -5.5...L 1u
Cincy/USF u48.5...W 2u
MIZ/Vandy o56...W 2u
KY/SC u55.5...L 2u
TT -17.5...W 1u
TT/KU u54...L 1u
UNC/VT u46...W 1u
UGA/TN u64.5...L 1u
UGA 2H -6.5...L 1u
WAS +8/WAS o52 parlay...W 1u for 3u

YTD: 37-29-1 (+14u less juice) 56%
Totals: 17-12
ATS: 19-14-1
Parlay: 1-0
Teases: 0-3
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5016 on: October 06, 2013, 02:07:17 pm »

I also need to correct a post from yesterday.

I incorrectly put Jeff's play on ND at -7 instead of the actual line of ND +7. Anyone can look back at the line and see it was a simple typo.


Ha/ha, we knew.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5017 on: October 06, 2013, 02:17:17 pm »

Added Broncos 4 units per Jeff!

I don't know what J got the Broncs for, but the best of my 2 sites is -8.5, so I've locked that for 4u.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5018 on: October 06, 2013, 02:18:13 pm »

Well, since my horrible week 2 weeks ago, I've bounced back record wise, but because my units are based on %'s and not a set amount, my bankroll is slower to come around.

I went 9-4 this week:

Oregon 1st half -24.5 3*  Win +$144
Oregon -38.5 2*  Win +$72
UCLA -6 2* Win +$72
Miami -5.5 1*  Win +$36
Bowling Green -26 1* Loss -$39
Washington St -1 1*  Win +$36
Stanford -7  1*  Loss -$39
UCLA -1.5 2nd half  2*  Win +$72
over 34.5 1*  Loss -$39
 LSU -7 2*  Win +$72
Northern Illinois -8. 1*  Win +$36
LSU -2.5 2nd half  1*  Win +$36
South Carolina -10 2nd half  1*   Loss -$39

30-29-4  $1072   -64% ROI

That pushes my 2 week run to 13-6-1, but my % is at a dismal 48%. I also hit both of my teasers that paid me a combined 5 to 2 on my money.

Sorry to everyone who had one of THOSE days, I know the feeling. There's always next week.

I will be playing one NFL game, the 49'ers -4.5


+1 to you WC
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5019 on: October 06, 2013, 02:48:37 pm »

I don't know what J got the Broncs for, but the best of my 2 sites is -8.5, so I've locked that for 4u.

He texted me he got it at -7
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5020 on: October 06, 2013, 03:17:49 pm »

He texted me he got it at -7

He ALWAYS gets better lines than I do. In tailing him 100% this year -- well 99% because I wasn't buying 4 points on UL yesterday to get to the 30.5 he locked -- I've been having to buy points like a fixer.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5021 on: October 06, 2013, 03:21:38 pm »

He ALWAYS gets better lines than I do. In tailing him 100% this year -- well 99% because I wasn't buying 4 points on UL yesterday to get to the 30.5 he locked -- I've been having to buy points like a fixer.

That's the glory of having friends in cities with sportsbooks, and not having to depend on websites.
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5022 on: October 06, 2013, 03:25:03 pm »

That's the glory of having friends in cities with sportsbooks, and not having to depend on websites.

True

#Jealous
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5023 on: October 06, 2013, 07:51:25 pm »

took broncos at 7, 4 units. lost the bet but for some reason not mad.

Romo is bipolar. will probably not bet against the LOLboys at home the rest of the season.

Damnit, NFL has been tough to call this season.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5024 on: October 06, 2013, 11:04:39 pm »

Not gonna lie, I got the SF pick tonight off the radio program that is on 96.3fm yesterday morning around 7:45 am. Only thing I really picked up during the ride to school, but it turned out to be golden.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5025 on: October 06, 2013, 11:19:10 pm »

As much as I hate to throw the word "lock" around, especially after what happened earlier with Ball St, I believe there is one this weekend.

Duke opened at -2 and is already climbing. It has reached -3 on my site, so I went ahead and jumped on it, as I expect this to climb another 2-3 points. If my guess is correct, I should be able to get it at 5 or 6 by Wednesday or Thursday, and then start slowly sliding down till game time. Probably rest at about -4. If I'm wrong and it stays at -3, I'll hit it again later on this wee, I just didn't want to miss it.

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BoynamedWooPigSooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5026 on: October 07, 2013, 01:06:25 am »

Carolina giving 6 pts to us.

discuss.
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5027 on: October 07, 2013, 08:29:46 am »

Baylor -17 at K State. Anyone watching k state this year think they can come close? I guess this has been Baylor's Achilles heel in the past. I think they have never won in Manhattan. 
« Last Edit: October 07, 2013, 12:47:47 pm by ur »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5028 on: October 07, 2013, 12:00:04 pm »

Oregon -14 @ WAS

I've been real high on WAS, but this line is just too low. 2.5 units on Oregon.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5029 on: October 07, 2013, 12:23:49 pm »

Wow. I just grabbed Baylor at -17 for two units.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5030 on: October 07, 2013, 02:05:04 pm »

Atlanta/Los Angeles o7.5.    8 units.   NO ACTION

Boston Red Sox -112   1 unit.   L
Stl cardinals -105        1 unit.   W

Jets +11/o44 parlay 1 unit.   W

*due to Ricky Nolasko getting scratched for kershaw, the Total was canceled by the book. I always choose listed vs action, but they typically cancel total lines when a listed pitcher doesn't pitch.
« Last Edit: October 08, 2013, 12:19:31 am by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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ur

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5031 on: October 07, 2013, 02:11:57 pm »

Interesting info when wagering on Baylor.
http://espn.go.com/blog/ncfnation/post/_/id/84565/the-stats-behind-baylors-70-point-offense
When does the coaching staff decide enough is enough? In three of those games, it was after the Bears hit 63 points. Baylor is averaging 60.2 points per game when Petty is playing and has an average lead of 49 points when he exits.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5032 on: October 07, 2013, 07:28:17 pm »

Falcons -9 2 units bought the hook
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5033 on: October 07, 2013, 09:59:43 pm »

Here are my leans for this week.  These all fell in at least a few different small trends hitting at 80+% and more than half of them fell in a trend that has hit on 10 out of 10 occurrences.  Scanning the various rankings, they also all have more than one edge over their opponents.  I'm a bit nervous about giving up so many points in so many games, but I still like each of these.

Louisville -17 v. Rutgers
Ball State -16 v. Kent
UCLA -24 v. Cal
AZ State -25 v. Colorado
Clemson -24 v. Boston College
N. Ill -22 v. Akron
Ohio -17 v. Central Mich

The spreadsheets also really like Texas Tech, but with their stud QB doubtful for the game and their back-up having INT issues, I'll almost certainly sit that one out.  Please let me know if your research reaches different conclusions.  Thanks!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5034 on: October 07, 2013, 11:52:08 pm »

cough, cough...wassup with all this chalk in here.

lol, just messing with ya. That is seriously a lot of points, but I like the N Illinois and Ball St, and I tend to agree with Clemson and UCLA. Don't know if I will be convinced to play them, but I don't have any info to disagree with you.

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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5035 on: October 08, 2013, 12:02:11 am »

Just an FYI Vader, the guy on therx who is a west coast genius (25-11 70%) that I've been following, named the UCLA game as his must bet early, and Az St is on his watch list for later on in the week, because he sees that line going down soon.
 

8)
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5036 on: October 08, 2013, 12:21:37 am »

YTD RECORDS:

NCAA:
36-22-1 (.621)
       
NFL:
12-12-2  (.500)
 
NHL:
2-2-0     (.500)

MLB playoffs:
7-3       (.700)

Total:
57-39-3 (.594)


Due to a horrible NCAAF weekend, my numbers have dropped slightly.
« Last Edit: October 09, 2013, 10:18:20 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5037 on: October 08, 2013, 07:49:06 am »

Due to a horrible NCAAF weekend, my numbers have dropped slightly.

On the bright side though, you got that horrible weekend out of the way and are still sitting at 62%.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5038 on: October 08, 2013, 07:50:33 am »

At first glance, my favorite total of the week is FL/LSU o47
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5039 on: October 08, 2013, 08:27:36 am »

On the bright side though, you got that horrible weekend out of the way and are still sitting at 62%.


What he said!  If someone told you at the start of the season that you'd be 62% going into week 7, I suspect you'd like that number.  I'm still optimistic that our numbers will get better in the second half of the season.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5040 on: October 08, 2013, 08:30:55 am »

Just an FYI Vader, the guy on therx who is a west coast genius (25-11 70%) that I've been following, named the UCLA game as his must bet early, and Az St is on his watch list for later on in the week, because he sees that line going down soon.
 

8)

With his track record, I'm glad he seems to like those two plays (even if it is with a qualification on timing).
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5041 on: October 08, 2013, 12:34:42 pm »

Anyone liking:

WY -15.5 vs. NM?

or

Utah +9 vs. Stanford?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5042 on: October 08, 2013, 01:35:26 pm »

Boston Red Sox -117.    6 units.....W


Oakland Athletics +137.   2 units...L
« Last Edit: October 08, 2013, 11:45:23 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5043 on: October 08, 2013, 01:53:32 pm »

Anyone liking:

WY -15.5 vs. NM?

or

Utah +9 vs. Stanford?

Wyoming -14.5 falls in quite a few NICE trends, but a few too many of the power ranking systems with decent records seem to think it is around a 10 point game.  It's at -14.5 on bookmaker.  If I could get it at -13.5 (even buying a hook), I would be all over it.  At -15.5, I don't plan on playing it.

Utah +9 falls in a few decent trends, but similar to Wyoming, a few too many of the systems with decent records are picking Stanford, so I plan on sitting that one out.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5044 on: October 08, 2013, 02:25:37 pm »

hey guys, sorry about being so late, but Jeff asked me to post this on Sunday. I was so tied up I completely forgot.

This is the caption he asked me to post:
"When the wife and kid are gone and you hit your dime play the night before, this is how we eat!!"



[attachment deleted by admin]
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5045 on: October 08, 2013, 02:31:25 pm »

The Ball St. line just plummeted to -13.5.  Any info or ideas on the big drop?  I liked it at -16 but don't want to hammer it at 13.5 if there something behind the shift.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5046 on: October 08, 2013, 02:36:41 pm »

"When the wife and kid are gone and you hit your dime play the night before, this is how we eat!!"

NICE!  I LOVE my grill and smokers!  Looks like Grill Master is another one of your many talents.  I'm guessing you're not a small guy :)  Congrats on another successful dime play, and THANK YOU for sharing!
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5047 on: October 08, 2013, 02:50:39 pm »

That's jeff's pic I posted for him.

But, no, I'm not a small guy, and yes, I am a Grill master..
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5048 on: October 08, 2013, 02:55:14 pm »

no, I'm not a small guy, and yes, I am a Grill master..

I fit in those categories as well.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #5049 on: October 08, 2013, 04:27:31 pm »

Oh it's like that huh....I didn't know we were masters of fire also. Here are some ribs I smoked for Father's Day.

St. Louis style pork baby backs smoked for 6 hours over cherry wood.

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