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Author Topic: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?  (Read 855 times)

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bdubhog

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2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« on: April 11, 2013, 02:32:31 pm »

$1 Million Arkansas Derby (gr. I, Race 10, 5:28 p.m.), 3YOs, 1 1/8 Miles
 
 PP.Horse, Jockey, Weight, Trainer, Odds
  1. Carve (KY), R Santana Jr., 118, S M Asmussen, 20/1
  2. War Academy (KY), M E Smith, 118, B Baffert, 2/1
  3. Divine Ambition (KY), J Graham, 118, D Miller, 20/1
  4. Falling Sky (PA), M Garcia, 122, J P Terranova II, 10/1
  5. Den's Legacy (FL), R Albarado, 122, B Baffert, 6/1
  6. Heaven's Runway (KY), I Ocampo, 122, J R Martin, 30/1
  7. Texas Bling (TX), C H Borel, 122, D Durham, 20/1
  8. Frac Daddy (KY), V Lebron, 118, K G McPeek, 15/1
  9. Overanalyze (KY), R Bejarano, 122, T A Pletcher, 4/1
10. Oxbow (KY), G L Stevens, 122, D W Lukas, 5/2

I'll go with: War Academy, Texas Bling, Oxbow
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Bret Squealema

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2013, 05:22:46 pm »

Oxbow by 5 lengths.  Overanalyze to place and Carve to show with War Academy in fourth.
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HogFanInBryant

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2013, 06:58:35 pm »

Oxbow if he runs his race, but I do not think this will be the main goal for DWL for this horse....no matter how he runs I am betting him in the KD.  I really think the horse to bet in this race is Den's Legacy......if he is 6-1 or higher that is who I will wager on.  I love Oxbow...but not in this race....his race is in just over 3 weeks in Louisville!
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cbhawg03

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2013, 08:43:22 pm »

Win ticket on Overanalyze or Den's Legacy, which ever has better odds. Also going to have a few bucks on T Bling to Win

Trifecta:

Overanalyze, Den's Legacy wt

Overanalyze, Den's Legacy, T Bling, Carve, Oxbow wt

Overanalyze, Den's Legacy, T Bling, Carve, Oxbow, War Academy
« Last Edit: April 12, 2013, 10:59:24 am by cabolbrooks »
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showhimthewhip

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2013, 08:47:47 pm »

In times of late, asmussen has showed up at the festival with business on his mind. Today was evidence that supports the idea that he might do it again this year. I don't know about carve (dont get me wrong, I'm not dismissing him) but I'm gonna throw some at him in the undercard. I'm sure frank will let everyone know so the uneducated public can climb on the bandwagon though.
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cbhawg03

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #5 on: April 12, 2013, 07:47:54 am »

No faster way to see your odds just bottom out than the track announcer picking your horse
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bdubhog

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #6 on: April 12, 2013, 08:26:41 am »

There hasn't been a hotter jock than Ricardo Santana Jr either.  5 winners on yesterday's card alone.  And beaten by a neck in race 1 or would have been 6.
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Darrell Royal's Floating Flaming Fulminating Spectral Head

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #7 on: April 12, 2013, 07:29:41 pm »

I like a 2-9-10 Trifecta (War Academy, Overanalyze, & Oxbow).
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RockChalkJayhawk

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #8 on: April 12, 2013, 08:12:54 pm »

As of right now, I like War Academy over the camera-shy Oxbow, Overanalyze, Den's Legacy and Falling Sky.  The race sets up well for War Academy and he's well drawn. 

2 with 4,5,9,10 with 4,5,9,10.  Also 9,10 with 4,5,9,10 with 4,5,9,10.  Also exacta boxing 2-9-10. 

This group's early speed calculations, at least on paper, bunch them up pretty well, giving War Academy the perfect setup if he's good enough. 
  4       6     10    9     3    8     7    2      5      1
-16,   -15,   39   44   46   63   72   75   135   142
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ghostzapper

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #9 on: April 12, 2013, 08:50:07 pm »

Against this group?  Frac Daddy has a legitimate shot at a price.  KD winner isn't among this bunch unless War Academy is a freak. 
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SEdrhawg

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #10 on: April 13, 2013, 07:52:09 am »

Against this group?  Frac Daddy has a legitimate shot at a price.  KD winner isn't among this bunch unless War Academy is a freak.

Most true statement I've heard in a while....

That being said, I will play Falling Sky but Frac Daddy will get a look as well.
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Horse racer

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #11 on: April 13, 2013, 09:52:59 am »

I really think Texas Bling may be in the mix.
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Rendezvous Cook

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #12 on: April 13, 2013, 09:32:41 pm »

Most true statement I've heard in a while....

That being said, I will play Falling Sky but Frac Daddy will get a look as well.

Hope you played him!!!!
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ghostzapper

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #13 on: April 14, 2013, 10:14:19 am »

Beyer fig on Arkansas Derby yesterday was worst in history of the race. 
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ghostzapper

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Re: 2013 Arkansas Derby: Who ya got?
« Reply #14 on: April 14, 2013, 10:35:17 am »

Northern Spur winner got a better Beyer than Arkansas Derby winner.  In fact, Arkansas Derby was only the sixth fastest race on a 12 race card.  That's pathetic.
« Last Edit: April 15, 2013, 04:09:20 am by ghostzapper »
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