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Author Topic: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)  (Read 335713 times)

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1750 on: November 02, 2012, 07:08:45 am »

Congrats sir pigs.  Keep the roll going.

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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1751 on: November 02, 2012, 08:47:46 am »

You guys ever have friends ask to bet for them? i've had two of my married buds ask in the past week if they could put money on a game through me.

good or bad idea?
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1752 on: November 02, 2012, 08:56:02 am »

I think I've solidified my picks for Saturday:

UF -17
Wake -3.5
Indiana -1.5
Bama -9.5
K State -9.5

I know they're all favorites, but I prefer making up points with the better team (usually) than trying to hang on to 'em with the lesser of the two.

My picks have changed:

UF -17
A&M -7
OM +14
Bama -8
K State -8.5

It's normally a good thing for me if I find this many SEC games I like.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1753 on: November 02, 2012, 10:36:25 am »

Kent State -20.5
Clemson -13
Vandy -7
A&M -7
Oregon -7


Looking at
Michigan -12
arkansas state -4
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1754 on: November 02, 2012, 11:21:04 am »

You guys ever have friends ask to bet for them? i've had two of my married buds ask in the past week if they could put money on a game through me.

good or bad idea?


Always a bad idea.  Even worse if they win.  Creates a monster.  They will start pestering the poop out of you.

If you do it anyway always money upfront including the juice.
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1755 on: November 02, 2012, 11:26:53 am »

What do y'all think about Temple +17?
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1756 on: November 02, 2012, 11:31:43 am »


Always a bad idea.  Even worse if they win.  Creates a monster.  They will start pestering the poop out of you.

If you do it anyway always money upfront including the juice.

I agree. Make them man up and set up an account with a local or offshore. If they wanna tail your picks , that's one thing but don't make the bet for them.
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Hawgndaaz

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1757 on: November 02, 2012, 11:56:35 am »

thats what I thought. I had a guy throw 50 at me before MNF a few weeks ago. He was sitting at my table so I agreed. We both won the bet so I just paid him right there and was done with it.

This dude wants to bet reeeaal bad but doesn't want the Mrs. to know.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1758 on: November 02, 2012, 05:54:27 pm »

Washington +4    4 units....W

« Last Edit: November 02, 2012, 11:39:25 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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arkirish

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1759 on: November 02, 2012, 07:24:14 pm »

Love Oregon this weekend...think they win by at least 16
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1760 on: November 02, 2012, 08:20:58 pm »

thats what I thought. I had a guy throw 50 at me before MNF a few weeks ago. He was sitting at my table so I agreed. We both won the bet so I just paid him right there and was done with it.

This dude wants to bet reeeaal bad but doesn't want the Mrs. to know.

Then definitely no.  The time will come where he calls and says hey man play this for me.  He loses either gets the cash and wife finds out ( believe me your name will come up and will somehow be your fault like you lost money and he loaned you some)

Just back away.  Or tell him to hand you 5 hundo or a grand and he can play anyway he wants till it is gone.  Also charge him an extra 10% juice on losses for your trouble.  Or if he makes a bet the opposite way you were gonna bet it just take the action yourself and don't say anything.  If he wins you pay him what he won. 10% less than had you made your bet the other way and lost.  If he loses you pocket the cash plus the 10% juice.  Key is cash upfront unless you know for sure he will pay.

Lol I pretty much know most of the angles my man.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1761 on: November 02, 2012, 11:36:36 pm »

Then definitely no.  The time will come where he calls and says hey man play this for me.  He loses either gets the cash and wife finds out ( believe me your name will come up and will somehow be your fault like you lost money and he loaned you some)

Just back away.  Or tell him to hand you 5 hundo or a grand and he can play anyway he wants till it is gone.  Also charge him an extra 10% juice on losses for your trouble.  Or if he makes a bet the opposite way you were gonna bet it just take the action yourself and don't say anything.  If he wins you pay him what he won. 10% less than had you made your bet the other way and lost.  If he loses you pocket the cash plus the 10% juice.  Key is cash upfront unless you know for sure he will pay.

Lol I pretty much know most of the angles my man.

Remind me never to try and jack with thisvguy
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1762 on: November 03, 2012, 08:59:49 am »

YTD: 49-35-1, +16.5 units
4 units
Oregon -8 W
K State -8 W

2 units
Arizona St +3.5 L
Arkansas St -4 W
Giants -3 L

1 unit
SMU +10 L
Baylor -16.5  W
G Tech -8  W
« Last Edit: November 08, 2012, 05:08:44 pm by yraciv »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1763 on: November 03, 2012, 09:14:07 am »

Just added Oregon -8 / 3 units
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1764 on: November 03, 2012, 10:39:32 am »

Big card today....

San Jose st. -20    5 units........W
Ohio st. -27.         4 units........W
Bama -8.              3 units........L
Mich st pk.            3 units........L (hosed)
Oregon -8.            3 units.......W
Tx tech -6.            1 unit.........L
Wake -3.              1 unit.........W
Ga tech -6.           1 unit.........W

YTD RECORD 62-45
« Last Edit: November 03, 2012, 10:58:30 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1765 on: November 03, 2012, 11:36:20 am »

Adding

Ar St -4....2*
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la20688

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1766 on: November 03, 2012, 01:46:07 pm »

Pitt +17
Org -_8 1/2
W Vir -4
LSU + 9

Add "Game on Dude" in Breeders Classic although he won't pay much, so play "Mucho Macho Man" as a longshot.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2012, 05:06:47 pm by la20688 »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1767 on: November 03, 2012, 06:06:33 pm »

Go Irish!
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1768 on: November 03, 2012, 06:07:48 pm »

Pitt +17
Org -_8 1/2
W Vir -4
LSU + 9

Add "Game on Dude" in Breeders Classic although he won't pay much, so play "Mucho Macho Man" as a longshot.


Seriously!
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1769 on: November 03, 2012, 09:12:33 pm »

Yraciv is having some kind of year. Congrats man
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1770 on: November 03, 2012, 10:03:01 pm »

good day so far, just hoping Kansas St can keep it together so my parlay hits.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1771 on: November 03, 2012, 10:13:47 pm »

Looks like everybody has had a good day. I'd like to see somebody run the totals of everybody that posted plays. I may do it if I get a chance.
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1772 on: November 03, 2012, 10:42:22 pm »

Yraciv is having some kind of year. Congrats man

Thanks! Record has been solid all year, but unit production could have been better. Today was the breakout I was looking for.
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1773 on: November 04, 2012, 08:16:18 am »

Cleveland +3.5 / 2 units
Buffalo +10.5 / 3 units
Washington -3 / 3 units
Steelers +3 / 5 units
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1774 on: November 04, 2012, 09:37:03 am »

Went 2-4 on the weekend for -14, bringing me back down to even for the season (so down by the juice). I just knew Mettenberger would get rattled & Bama would cover. Plus, friggin turnovers killed them.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1775 on: November 04, 2012, 09:39:46 am »

Went 2-4 on the weekend for -14, bringing me back down to even for the season (so down by the juice). I just knew Mettenberger would get rattled & Bama would cover. Plus, friggin turnovers killed them.

Bama failed to cover.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1776 on: November 04, 2012, 09:41:28 am »

The unpredictable nfl....

Lions -6.      4 units........W
Bears -4.     3 units .......W
« Last Edit: November 04, 2012, 10:19:52 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1777 on: November 04, 2012, 09:42:28 am »

Cleveland +3.5 / 2 units
Buffalo +10.5 / 3 units
Washington -3 / 3 units
Steelers +3 / 5 units


Wouldn't be a Sunday afternoon if u weren't on the steelers...:)
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la20688

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1778 on: November 04, 2012, 11:08:52 am »

Cincy +5.5 (going against public perception)
 Panthers +3.5 (fading the Redskins, who played the Steelers last week)
Ravens  -4
Steelers +4
Cowboys +4
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1779 on: November 04, 2012, 11:38:45 am »

Cincy +5.5 (going against public perception)
 Panthers +3.5 (fading the Redskins, who played the Steelers last week)
Ravens  -4
Steelers +4
Cowboys +4
Wouldn't be a Sunday afternoon if u weren't on the steelers...:)
Wouldn't be a Sunday afternoon if u weren't on the steelers...:)

Lol I either bet on them or not at all!
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Hooch

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1780 on: November 04, 2012, 11:51:49 am »

I had a big day yesterday but didn't post went up 4 units with K state and Oregon but I will post my record at 8-10-1 since I didn't post. 

I have a 3 team teaser today

Baltimore+6
Houston -1
Green Bay -1

and
5 team parlay $15 first half lines

Denver -3
Green Bay -7
Baltimore -3
houston -7
Carlona +2.5
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1781 on: November 04, 2012, 03:07:08 pm »

Adding...

Steelers +4      2 units.......W
« Last Edit: November 04, 2012, 10:20:25 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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yraciv

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1782 on: November 04, 2012, 03:13:36 pm »

I'm taking the Giants -3.5 for 2 units.
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1783 on: November 04, 2012, 08:08:52 pm »

Very good weekend


Oregon -8....5*
Kansas St -8.5....3*
Ar St -4....2*


2012-2013 CFB
Record 41-31-1 (56%) Profit $5796 Bankroll $7796 ROI 290%


I did have a couple of bets that I didn't post on here, one was a parlay for the above 3 that hit and paid $1200 on a $200 bet, and I lost Arizona +3....1*. I didn't post the parlay because I don't count it in my totals, and I didn't list the Zona play because I didn't have time to post it before the game, and didn't remember to post it till about midnight last night.

Theres a chance for it to be a monster year if the last 2 months shake out.


Also, Louisville -3 may be another 5*, but for now I'm locking it in at

Louisville -3....3*

Not a whole lot to look at this weekend.
« Last Edit: November 04, 2012, 08:13:13 pm by WILL CLINTON »
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1784 on: November 04, 2012, 08:33:09 pm »

Thank goodness I am posting now. Atlanta -/ 3 units. Cows leading mind you
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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1785 on: November 04, 2012, 08:34:48 pm »

Steeeeeeeeerelers baby!
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1786 on: November 04, 2012, 08:56:09 pm »

I've gotten lazy posting my picks. But you guys know me and my year-after-year mediocrity. I'm not fooling anyone, ha.

The cfb picks I posted on Friday for Saturday's action went 3-0, but I ended playing 4 more games that I didn't post that went 2-2.

I didn't post any nfl picks, but went 1-3 today . . . imagine that, picks not posted that did not go 17-1.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1787 on: November 04, 2012, 10:38:36 pm »

11-3 for the week going into Monday night (not counting my nba plays, 13-4 with)

YTD RECORD 65-45
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WILL CLINTON

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1788 on: November 04, 2012, 11:30:32 pm »

11-3 for the week going into Monday night (not counting my nba plays, 13-4 with)

YTD RECORD 65-45

I know you complemented someone else earlier on their season, but 20 games over .500 and 59% isn't too shabby yourself.

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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1789 on: November 05, 2012, 08:30:08 am »

I locked these in last night....

ISU  +10
Wisc  +5.5
UL  -2.5
Clem  -31

39-40 on the season.....I'm celebrating mediocrity like Miss St celebrated the 2000 Independence Bowl. #Snowbowl12
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1790 on: November 05, 2012, 10:10:40 am »

I know you complemented someone else earlier on their season, but 20 games over .500 and 59% isn't too shabby yourself.



Thanks. I'm having a good run over the last month. I was hitting around 50% before this run. Like you said, the last two months have the potential to be huge.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1791 on: November 05, 2012, 10:13:21 am »

Likewise, I locked in a few last night:

SCe -13.5 v. Hogs (10 units)(I wanted to get this while it was below 2 TDs)
GA -15 @ Aub (4 units)
OM -2.5 v. Vandy (2 units)

I'll probably add more to either GA or OM later in the week.

[EDIT] Added 5 more units on OM -2.5 (bought the hook to get it back down to 2.5)
« Last Edit: November 08, 2012, 11:11:31 am by DadVader1 »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1792 on: November 05, 2012, 10:19:18 am »

Like OM and Akron a lot at first glance.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1793 on: November 05, 2012, 10:46:24 am »

Even if it was the lock of the year, I could never root for the hogs to lose.
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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1794 on: November 05, 2012, 11:39:52 am »

Even if it was the lock of the year, I could never root for the hogs to lose.

Lock of the year came back in September when Vegas had Bama at -19 against the Hogs...bet more on that game than I had ever bet on a single wager.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1795 on: November 05, 2012, 12:21:33 pm »

Eagles/saints o52.         2.5 units......L
Eagles +3.                    1.5 units......L
Parlay same way.          1.5 units......L


Oh what a terrible night. The eagles blew so many chances.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2012, 03:00:32 pm by sir-pigs-a-lot »
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McKdaddy

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1796 on: November 05, 2012, 01:17:29 pm »

Even if it was the lock of the year, I could never root for the hogs to lose.

I understand your POV. When I've bet against the Hogs, it has been with money I frankly hope to lose (sounds silly, I know). The bet is made w/ my brain, not my heart. I can therefore easily set aside the conflict of interest and cheer for them same as ever. But I can see and understand why people would absolutely not bet against their team.
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DadVader1

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1797 on: November 05, 2012, 02:08:53 pm »

I understand your POV. When I've bet against the Hogs, it has been with money I frankly hope to lose (sounds silly, I know). The bet is made w/ my brain, not my heart. I can therefore easily set aside the conflict of interest and cheer for them same as ever. But I can see and understand why people would absolutely not bet against their team.

Well said.  That is the approach I take.  I analyzed the games for this weekend, picked a few games that I thought were my best plays, and the Hog game was one of them (and, yes, it had to overcome the additional hurdle of me generally not wanting to bet against them).  Here are a few of the factors that brought the game to the top of my list:

(1) general gut feeling after watching both teams play - lean SC
(2) general gut feeling about which of the SEC lines for the week looked a bit off - lean SC
(3) SC (No. 5 scoring O) v. Ark (no. 11 scoring D)(all stats are SEC Only) - lean SC
(4) Ark missing another LB from an already weak D - weak lean SC
(5) Ark secondary's ability to improve Opponent's passing game - lean SC
(6) Spurrier at home vs. JLS on the road - strong lean SC
(7) SC (No. 1 in sacks) & Clowney vs. Tyler getting hit repeatedly by Tulsa - strong lean SC

I hope I'm wrong!  I will pull for the Hogs no matter what and understand why many folks would not bet against their team. 
« Last Edit: December 06, 2012, 10:19:18 pm by DadVader1 »
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widespreadsooie

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1798 on: November 05, 2012, 02:13:36 pm »

JAX +3 Thursday. All damn day.
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sir-pigs-a-lot

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Re: OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)
« Reply #1799 on: November 05, 2012, 03:42:14 pm »

JAX +3 Thursday. All damn day.

I don't know. With mjd out and Indy getting better each week, this seems like an easy Indy win. Jax only getting 3 at home speaks a lot. I need to run some numbers to see which way I go but the prelim says Indy by 6
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