1 Game Out of 3rd Place After Saturday?

[revolution]

Every 7-6 team above us has a road game Saturday, except Ole Miss who plays Florida at home. That will probably be a loss for the Rebels.  Georgia is 8-6, but they play at SC on Saturday. So if we and Florida are the only road teams that win Saturday, we will be one game out of third place with four to play. Can you say double bye in the SEC Tournament?

[rzrbackramsfan]

Nice I'm just hoping for a sixth seed, that means one of the teams in the pack first game and then the third seeded game second game.  That may be the best thing actually.

[nextlevel]

Every 7-6 team above us has a road game Saturday, except Ole Miss who plays Florida at home. That will probably be a loss for the Rebels.  Georgia is 8-6, but they play at SC on Saturday. So if we and Florida are the only road teams that win Saturday, we will be one game out of third place with four to play. Can you say double bye in the SEC Tournament?

A double bye could be counter-productive for this team's NCAA hopes...

[BENJAMINX]

I think 6th seed is best for us too.

[thirtythree]

i am not sure a double bye is what we need. I think we need to play as many games as possible to increase the wins to get a better chance for the dance; if it is a possibility.

Yes, I know how that sounds, but I look ahead.

[Mick Hogger]

But with a double bye we also stand a better chance of reaching the championship game, which could help the selection committee's decision.

[cardsNhogs]

LSU AT Kentucky
Ole Miss vs. Florida
Mizzou AT Alabama
Tenn AT Texas A&M

[nextlevel]

But with a double bye we also stand a better chance of reaching the championship game, which could help the selection committee's decision.

A single bye would add an additional neutral court win to the resume, assuming the team made the final in both scenarios. An impressive winning neutral court record would far out way making the finals unless they won the whole tourney.

The committee supposedly no longer looks at the "last x amount of games" to gauge if a team is playing well at that time.

[jry04]

I would rather play 1 or 2 mediocre/bad SEC teams in the SECT to pad our record then get a double bye and lose in the 1st or 2nd round. If our only chance to make the NCAAT were to win the SECT, then I would agree that a double bye is great. However, I think we can reach the NCAAT by winning 2 games in the SECT if our only loss between now and then is to UK.

Winning 2 games will be much tougher if we are a 3 or 4 seed.

[The_Iceman]

We actually don't want 3rd place to be honest. 6th place would be best because we won't have to face Florida or Kentucky if we win in the first round.

[razorbackchamps94]

Mizzou will be the 3rd seed ..

[PonderinHog]

We actually don't want 3rd place to be honest. 6th place would be best because we won't have to face Florida or Kentucky if we win in the first round.

Seems like the ideal position to be in.

[revolution]

I think if we win out except Kentucky to finish 10-8 and in third place in the SEC, then win our first SEC Tourney game to put us in the semis against Kentucky, then give a good showing in that game, that would be enough.  We would have proven that we are the third best team in the SEC - that will get us in!  Obviously with that scenario, if we make the finals we are also in.

A double bye means we have proven we are top 3 or 4, then just one SEC tourney win solidifies that standing with a Tourney semifinal showing.  Only way we could get left out in that scenario is if Mizzou also finishes top 4, then they lose out to say Tenn. in the quarters.  Tenn. goes on to finals, and the Committee takes Fla, Kentucky, Tenn and then Mizzou over us since they beat us twice. 

But the double bye is preferable, because it means you've proven yourself over the other SEC contenders for a bid.

[Breems]

LSU AT Kentucky
Ole Miss vs. Florida
Mizzou AT Alabama
Tenn AT Texas A&M

LSU will lose. Ole Miss will get blown out at home again. Missouri *may* win against a terrible Bama team, but I doubt it. Tennessee is the most likely win @A&M, but A&M did win at Tennessee.

[Johnboy]

I can only focus on this road game at Miss St.  It is hard for me to look past that one.  Hogs beat Vanderbilt and played good vs Missouri, but looked horrible last night.  This stuff makes me nervous!

[nextlevel]

I can only focus on this road game at Miss St.  It is hard for me to look past that one.  Hogs beat Vanderbilt and played good vs Missouri, but looked horrible last night.  This stuff makes me nervous!

It is late in the season, the Carolina game was at home after a long string of emotional wins and losses in league play. This would be an ideal time for a bye week, but you do not get bye weeks in basketball.

But they did win.

Syracuse had an similar stretch starting the with the Duke win, win @Pitt and come from behind against NC State only to BC come in and beat them.

Arizona struggled with Utah last night as well, Tourney time is getting close and the season has been long for many teams.

[GuvHog]

I think if we win out except Kentucky to finish 10-8 and in third place in the SEC, then win our first SEC Tourney game to put us in the semis against Kentucky, then give a good showing in that game, that would be enough.  We would have proven that we are the third best team in the SEC - that will get us in!  Obviously with that scenario, if we make the finals we are also in.

A double bye means we have proven we are top 3 or 4, then just one SEC tourney win solidifies that standing with a Tourney semifinal showing.  Only way we could get left out in that scenario is if Mizzou also finishes top 4, then they lose out to say Tenn. in the quarters.  Tenn. goes on to finals, and the Committee takes Fla, Kentucky, Tenn and then Mizzou over us since they beat us twice. 

But the double bye is preferable, because it means you've proven yourself over the other SEC contenders for a bid.

Absolutely! Very, very seldom does the 3rd seed in the SEC Tournament not make the NCAA tournament.

[azhog10]

A double bye could be counter-productive for this team's NCAA hopes...

If we finish 4th in the SEC pre tournament it would be hard to leave us out. That said, we would definitely only need 1 win in the tournament to get in.

[TMc]

They have got to win at State.., depends on how they shoot the ball. However, one thing I have noticed over the past few games is they are learning how to play the defense Coach wants.  I can see a big difference.

[code red]

Every 7-6 team above us has a road game Saturday, except Ole Miss who plays Florida at home. That will probably be a loss for the Rebels.  Georgia is 8-6, but they play at SC on Saturday. So if we and Florida are the only road teams that win Saturday, we will be one game out of third place with four to play. Can you say double bye in the SEC Tournament?

We are O for the last 13 at the Hump...Just sayin.

[Fayettechill14]

Do not want double-bye. We need wins, not byes.

Assuming all of these teams finish with the same conference record, here are the power rankings for the NCAAT:

1. Missouri
2. Tennessee
3. Arkansas
4. LSU
5. Ole Miss
6. Georgia

If we all finish 10-8, that's the order that the NCAAT will likely take the teams.

Ergo, we need Mizzou and Tennessee to lose the rest of their games and knock themselves off the bubble, while we need Georgia and Ole Miss to win theirs (except vs. ARK, of course).