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Hogs vs Gamecocks...by the numbers

Started by redleg, October 03, 2017, 09:32:58 am

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redleg

Using statistics and additional info, here is what I think might happen vs South Carolina.

Total offense per game:
Ark - 408, 203 pass, 205 rush, 35 ppg.
SC - 336, 251 pass, 84 rush, 22.6 ppg.

Total defense per game:
Ark - 405.7, 242 pass, 163.7 rush, 27 ppg
SC - 407.4, 253.8 pass, 153.6 rush, 20.8 ppg.

Turnover margin per game:
Ark - +0.7
SC - +0.6

Penalties per game:
Ark - 5.7
SC - 4.0

1. Give Carolina a touchdown for home field advantage.
2. Carolina's run game should be held in check at around 100 yards.
3. Carolina is potentially missing three starting O-Linemen.
4. Carolina's top receiver/playmaker (D. Samuel) is out for the season.
5. Arkansas' offense is becoming more balanced, WRs are playing better/running better routes.
6. Carolina has a weak pass D, AAllen should have a field day.
7. Jake Bentley could also have a field day passing, but a weak run game will put him under the gun.
8. Carolina's defense seems to fade late in the game.

Final pick:
South Carolina defense will give up at least two big plays to Arkansas' offense for TDs, and the Hogs will also dominate in Time of Possession, keeping Bentley on the sidelines. Look for Arkansas to rush for over 200 yards.
Score --- Ark - 38 : SC - 24

If it ain't broke, fix it till it is.

tolerati

"Show me a quarterback who isn't cocky, and I'll show you a quarterback who isn't worth a damn." - Darrell Royal

 

redleg

If it ain't broke, fix it till it is.

Dominicanhog


SemperFi

Quote from: redleg on October 03, 2017, 09:32:58 am
Using statistics and additional info, here is what I think might happen vs South Carolina.

Total offense per game:
Ark - 408, 203 pass, 205 rush, 35 ppg.
SC - 336, 251 pass, 84 rush, 22.6 ppg.

Total defense per game:
Ark - 405.7, 242 pass, 163.7 rush, 27 ppg
SC - 407.4, 253.8 pass, 153.6 rush, 20.8 ppg.

Turnover margin per game:
Ark - +0.7
SC - +0.6

Penalties per game:
Ark - 5.7
SC - 4.0

1. Give Carolina a touchdown for home field advantage.
2. Carolina's run game should be held in check at around 100 yards.
3. Carolina is potentially missing three starting O-Linemen.
4. Carolina's top receiver/playmaker (D. Samuel) is out for the season.
5. Arkansas' offense is becoming more balanced, WRs are playing better/running better routes.
6. Carolina has a weak pass D, AAllen should have a field day.
7. Jake Bentley could also have a field day passing, but a weak run game will put him under the gun.
8. Carolina's defense seems to fade late in the game.

Final pick:
South Carolina defense will give up at least two big plays to Arkansas' offense for TDs, and the Hogs will also dominate in Time of Possession, keeping Bentley on the sidelines. Look for Arkansas to rush for over 200 yards.
Score --- Ark - 38 : SC - 24


I can get onboard with this...good job
Some people wonder all their lives if they've made a difference. The Marines don't have that problem. - Ronald Reagan

HogFansReunited

My girl told me to whisper something sexy in her ear...so I leaned in and said....Dominic Fletcher.

Quote from: WorfHog on April 05, 2019, 11:26:00 pm
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Member #3568

jkstock04

I would wager a large amount there won't be 60 plus points scored in this game...pretty good breakdown nonetheless though.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

Pigsknuckles

Sounds legit, as long as we give up only one instance from the following categories: the big play,turnovers , or special teams gaffes.
"the ox is slow, but the Earth is patient"

GunnerHawg70

Well if ya go by the numbers Hogs should win.  The only thing that worries me is Hogs usually get career stats put up against them.  I would love to celebrate with the rest of you on Saturday, so here's to the boys and coaching staff coming in with a good defensive scheme to slow down USCe offense, Hogs defense shutting down the run and putting pressure on the QB.

OneTuskOverTheLine™

Quote from: redleg on October 03, 2017, 09:32:58 am
Using statistics and additional info, here is what I think might happen vs South Carolina.

Total offense per game:
Ark - 408, 203 pass, 205 rush, 35 ppg.
SC - 336, 251 pass, 84 rush, 22.6 ppg.

Total defense per game:
Ark - 405.7, 242 pass, 163.7 rush, 27 ppg
SC - 407.4, 253.8 pass, 153.6 rush, 20.8 ppg.

Turnover margin per game:
Ark - +0.7
SC - +0.6

Penalties per game:
Ark - 5.7
SC - 4.0

1. Give Carolina a touchdown for home field advantage.
2. Carolina's run game should be held in check at around 100 yards.
3. Carolina is potentially missing three starting O-Linemen.
4. Carolina's top receiver/playmaker (D. Samuel) is out for the season.
5. Arkansas' offense is becoming more balanced, WRs are playing better/running better routes.
6. Carolina has a weak pass D, AAllen should have a field day.
7. Jake Bentley could also have a field day passing, but a weak run game will put him under the gun.
8. Carolina's defense seems to fade late in the game.

Final pick:
South Carolina defense will give up at least two big plays to Arkansas' offense for TDs, and the Hogs will also dominate in Time of Possession, keeping Bentley on the sidelines. Look for Arkansas to rush for over 200 yards.
Score --- Ark - 38 : SC - 24



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redleg

The stats that ESPN (judge how you will) puts up is even more favorable towards the Hogs, with Arkansas' D giving up 142.8 rushing and 205.3 passing per game.
If it ain't broke, fix it till it is.

rljjr