Pages:
Actions
  • #1701 by WILL CLINTON on 28 Oct 2012
  • 5* lock of the year this week.

    Oregon -7 @ USC

    One that may get close to a 5* lock is

    Kansas St -8 v OkSt....3*

    Locking these 2 in. I don't even know if I'll play any more.

  • #1702 by McKdaddy on 28 Oct 2012
  • Maryland on QB #5 this coming Saturday. Terrible luck for Maryland this season at the position.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/terrapins-insider/wp/2012/10/28/caleb-rowe-tears-acl-will-miss-rest-of-the-season/
  • #1703 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 29 Oct 2012
  • I'm going to start posting my picks at halftime. Seems its easier to win that way
  • #1704 by McKdaddy on 29 Oct 2012
  • I'm going to start posting my picks at halftime. Seems its easier to win that way

    +1
  • #1705 by Hawgndaaz on 29 Oct 2012
  • NYG seem like easy $...-2

    I'm going to start posting my picks at halftime. Seems its easier to win that way

    That game about gave me a heart attack at the end. I can't imagine what it is like to be a Cowboys fan and watch that debacle every week. That right hand landing out of bounds paid for my weekend.
  • #1706 by DadVader1 on 29 Oct 2012
  • ...
  • #1707 by McKdaddy on 29 Oct 2012
  • That game about gave me a heart attack at the end. I can't imagine what it is like to be a Cowboys fan and watch that debacle every week. That right hand landing out of bounds paid for my weekend.

    As a wretched Cowboys fan, that -2 on NYG did seem like easy money....especially at 23-0. Definitely a tale of 2 games.  But lost by some fingers (and 4 int's, and poor playcalling on 2nd & 1, and 2 fumble -- a typical team effort).

    But anytime I bet against my teams, I'm trying to bet w/ my brain and not my heart....BUT it is money I don't mind losing. Ha. When Dallas was coming back, I was pretty excited.

    I've been a fan since birth (thanks Dad!), and won't change teams regardless of how high the frustration gets w/ Jerry, Tony, Garrett, etc. I cheered as hard and watched all the games when 1-15 as in good years. But it is frustrating, and the blame starts at the top.
  • #1708 by Hawgndaaz on 29 Oct 2012
  • As a wretched Cowboys fan, that -2 on NYG did seem like easy money....especially at 23-0. Definitely a tale of 2 games.  But lost by some fingers (and 4 int's, and poor playcalling on 2nd & 1, and 2 fumble -- a typical team effort).

    But anytime I bet against my teams, I'm trying to bet w/ my brain and not my heart....BUT it is money I don't mind losing. Ha. When Dallas was coming back, I was pretty excited.

    I've been a fan since birth (thanks Dad!), and won't change teams regardless of how high the frustration gets w/ Jerry, Tony, Garrett, etc. I cheered as hard and watched all the games when 1-15 as in good years. But it is frustrating, and the blame starts at the top.

    Great way to put it. For some reason I took Arkansas -6 Saturday. Third time I have bet my team this year, and the other two were ULM and Bama. I took Bama, obviously. So I guess I am 1/3 when betting hog games. I'm done with that.

    At halftime, the line was Ole Miss +4. I took that for 50 bucks and felt great about it. Friend sitting with me was so offended I bet against the hogs. I told him if I lose my bet, we probably win the game and I'm fine with it. He bitched at me the whole second half. It was Win-Win in my opinion.

    edit: my NCAA lines aren't available yet online and it is irritating me. I am determined to start locking better numbers in early in the week but that is hard to do when you can't see them.
  • #1709 by Wildhog on 29 Oct 2012
  • Great way to put it. For some reason I took Arkansas -6 Saturday. Third time I have bet my team this year, and the other two were ULM and Bama. I took Bama, obviously. So I guess I am 1/3 when betting hog games. I'm done with that.

    At halftime, the line was Ole Miss +4. I took that for 50 bucks and felt great about it. Friend sitting with me was so offended I bet against the hogs. I told him if I lose my bet, we probably win the game and I'm fine with it. He bitched at me the whole second half. It was Win-Win in my opinion.

    edit: my NCAA lines aren't available yet online and it is irritating me. I am determined to start locking better numbers in early in the week but that is hard to do when you can't see them.

    Where do you make your bets online?
  • #1710 by Hawgndaaz on 29 Oct 2012
  • Where do you make your bets online?

    I go through a guy that uses a website. He takes referrals so if you're interested I could get you in.
  • #1711 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 29 Oct 2012
  • I'm going to start posting my picks at halftime. Seems its easier to win that way

    No doubt!
  • #1712 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 29 Oct 2012
  • In trying to find information on databases and spreadsheets, I dug up an old article that I ran across in 2010 that you might find interesting for a few points:

    it quantified the "bet on a home dog on Monday Night Football": 87-71 as of 2010 (or 55%); and

    It also has 3 "system" bets that are rare, very complicated, and very successful:
    1) College basketball: a final four bet that between 1991 & 2010 was 16-0 ATS (play against a final four team coming off of 4 wins ATS if it's priced from +2 to +9 & is matched against a 0.800 or better opponent);
    2) NBA: a bet that between 1990 & 2010 was 16-0 ATS (play for a 0.657 or better team that's playing with revenge from an 8 point or worse loss to a 0.500 or better opponent, off a win that covered the previous night); and
    3) College football: a bet that between 1980 & 2010 was 14-0 (play against an fbs team in its first road game, if it's the 1st or 2d game of the season, and if it's matched against a non-conference foe, off back-to-back losses, with its most recent loss at home, provided the home team isn't favored by more than 14 points). 

    Here is the article: http://drbobsports.com/database.pdf

    That 55% you are talking about 81-71 doesn't work for me.  If a unit is 100.00 with those numbers  you win 8100.00 and lost 7810.00.  Using 150 games that a little less than a 2 dollar per game profit.  Percentage needs to be a minimum of 62% for me to even consider using a trend.  Not a trend guy.
  • #1713 by DadVader1 on 29 Oct 2012
  • That 55% you are talking about 81-71 doesn't work for me.  If a unit is 100.00 with those numbers  you win 8100.00 and lost 7810.00.  Using 150 games that a little less than a 2 dollar per game profit.  Percentage needs to be a minimum of 62% for me to even consider using a trend.  Not a trend guy.

    I would have guessed that the MNF home dog percentage would have been higher.  I haven't been a trend guy to date, but I'm not above looking for trends to see if they support my leans or increasing my units played if a trend does support my lean. 
  • #1714 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 29 Oct 2012
  • I would have guessed that the MNF home dog percentage would have been higher.  I haven't been a trend guy to date, but I'm not above looking for trends to see if they support my leans or increasing my units played if a trend does support my lean. 

    Oh I hear you and agree.  No such thing as too much info when it comes to this stuff.
  • #1715 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 29 Oct 2012
  • San Fran -7.    3 units.....W
    Under 38.        1 unit......W

    I unit parlay the same way W

    3-0 Monday night

    YTD 55-41
     
  • #1716 by Hawgndaaz on 29 Oct 2012
  • Took SF -7  2 units

    My under is 37.5, not sure i'm going to mess with it though.

    Just did a first half parlay

    SF -4
    O 19  1 unit
  • #1717 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 30 Oct 2012
  • Closed the week with a bang. Sure is a lot more fun when u win.
  • #1718 by widespreadsooie on 30 Oct 2012
  • So I'm thinking Wake -3.5 at home against BC is gold.

    What's y'all's take on UF -15.5 at home against Mizzou?
  • #1719 by widespreadsooie on 30 Oct 2012
  • Indiana -1.5 at home vs. Iowa looks good too.
  • #1720 by Hawgndaaz on 30 Oct 2012
  • So I'm thinking Wake -3.5 at home against BC is gold.

    What's y'all's take on UF -15.5 at home against Mizzou?

    I like both of those. UF's defense should shut down Mizzou without a problem.

    Going to take Boise at home again, why not.

    Got Oregon @ USC last night. Line was 7.5 so I bought half a point to sleep better.
  • #1721 by widespreadsooie on 30 Oct 2012
  • Oregon should be fine as long as the hype doesn't get to them. Boise's a coin flip in my opinion. K State could be the lock of the week.
  • #1722 by JOHNP on 30 Oct 2012
  • Any thoughts on Ark St -4.5? They looked good last week against Lafayette.
  • #1723 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 30 Oct 2012
  • Any thoughts on Ark St -4.5? They looked good last week against Lafayette.

    It's on my board. I'm researching it. Looks too good though...but for now I like it.
  • #1724 by JOHNP on 30 Oct 2012
  • I was thinking the same. I did notice that A-State is playing La-Mon next. Dont know if that will affect this week or not.
  • #1725 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 30 Oct 2012
  • I was thinking the same. I did notice that A-State is playing La-Mon next. Dont know if that will affect this week or not.

    Could be a factor. A state coming off a big road win and playing on the road is a part of it too.
  • #1726 by JOHNP on 30 Oct 2012
  • I have not seen anyone mention Clemson -13.5. Any takers?
  • #1727 by widespreadsooie on 30 Oct 2012
  • I have not seen anyone mention Clemson -13.5. Any takers?

    Duke is a bit unpredictable as far as covering the spread is concerned and they're at home so I deem it as something that isn't playable for myself.
  • #1728 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 30 Oct 2012
  • Gonna try my hand in the league ....

    Cavs -5.5    1.5 units......W

    YTD RECORD 56-41
  • #1729 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 30 Oct 2012
  • Gonna try my hand in the league ....

    Cavs -5.5    1.5 units

    Rarely do I get near that league. Haven't watched a game in 10 years.  Bet a few last year late in the season, but no longer a sport to me.
  • #1730 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 30 Oct 2012
  • Rarely do I get near that league. Haven't watched a game in 10 years.  Bet a few last year late in the season, but no longer a sport to me.

    Haha. I feel ya bro. I hate the nba. I do however like to make money and I'll dabble around and play a few games if I feel I can make some coin. Tonight was one of those times.
  • #1731 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 31 Oct 2012
  • Clippers -3.                   4 units....W
    Spurs/hornets u187.5.   2 units.....L

    YTD RECORD 57-42
  • #1732 by widespreadsooie on 31 Oct 2012
  • I think I've solidified my picks for Saturday:

    UF -17
    Wake -3.5
    Indiana -1.5
    Bama -9.5
    K State -9.5

    I know they're all favorites, but I prefer making up points with the better team (usually) than trying to hang on to 'em with the lesser of the two.
  • #1733 by Hawgndaaz on 31 Oct 2012
  • I've never wagered on NBA. Think I am going to do some real small bets to get the feel for it. Anything I need to know about basketball wagers in general?

    just did a parlay for shnits and giggles

    bulls -6
    clippers -3.5
    lakers -2.5 @ blazers
  • #1734 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 01 Nov 2012
  • I've never wagered on NBA. Think I am going to do some real small bets to get the feel for it. Anything I need to know about basketball wagers in general?

    just did a parlay for shnits and giggles

    bulls -6
    clippers -3.5
    lakers -2.5 @ blazers


    Eh I used to play the nba quite a bit when I followed it more.  Barkley, Bird, Jordan, magic,  during those days.  I memory serves look hard against the team playing in consecutive nights especially if thy are the road team and favored.

    I don't have much to offer sorry.
  • #1735 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 01 Nov 2012
  • Kent St -19 / 4 units
    Clemson -13.5 / 5 units
    Clemson Duke over 65 / 5 units
    W Va -7 / 3 units
    Pitt +19 / 5 units
    Oregon -8 / 3 units

    Leaning toward Florida - and ole piss +, but still uncommitted on those two.
  • #1736 by Hawgndaaz on 01 Nov 2012
  • screw the NBA
  • #1737 by McKdaddy on 01 Nov 2012
  • So far . . .

    Sips  +8
    GaTech  -7
    Clem  -13
  • #1738 by DadVader1 on 01 Nov 2012
  • This week, I've done:

    Ole Miss +14 @ GA  4 units
    A&M -6.5 @ MS State 2 units
    A&M -7 @ MS State 2 units
    Bama -8.5 @ LSU 10 units
    FL -17 v. MO  10 units

    Added:
    Kentucky +7 v. Vandy (1 unit)
    Tulsa +9 @ Hogs (1 unit)

    Added, Part 2:
    A&M -6.5 (6 units ... finally figured out how to buy the hook)
  • #1739 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 01 Nov 2012
  • Chargers -7   3 units........W
    Miami fl +2    1 unit.........W

    YTD RECORD 59-42
  • #1740 by WILL CLINTON on 01 Nov 2012
  • Chargers -7   3 units
    Miami fl +2    1 unit

    I so want to jump on Miami tonight, but VTech has screwed me in every game that I've bet on this year, that they are playing in. So tempted.
  • #1741 by Hawgndaaz on 01 Nov 2012
  • I took chargers at -8. risky but the chiefs are turrible. plus, i've developed a gambling problem.

    will bet small on miami i think.
  • #1742 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 01 Nov 2012
  • I so want to jump on Miami tonight, but VTech has screwed me in every game that I've bet on this year, that they are playing in. So tempted.
    the va tech split personality is why I'm only playing small. I almost bet the money line.
  • #1743 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 01 Nov 2012
  • Chiefs +7.5 / 2 units
  • #1744 by Hawgndaaz on 01 Nov 2012
  • Took Miami +1.5

    Their defense looks strikingly resemblant to a certain sec west school many of us root for :(
  • #1745 by McKdaddy on 01 Nov 2012
  • KC  +7  Opened +9, now at +7, w/ 65% public on SD.
  • #1746 by yraciv on 01 Nov 2012
  • I'm going to put 1 unit on the Chiefs tonight +7. Cheifs are bad, but Chargers haven't looked much better and were down right awful last week.  And I'm going to stick to football picks in here for my record, but if you guys still are trying to dabble on NBA games take the Spurs tonight.
  • #1747 by Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on 01 Nov 2012
  • I'm going to put 1 unit on the Chiefs tonight +7. Cheifs are bad, but Chargers haven't looked much better and were down right awful last week.  And I'm going to stick to football picks in here for my record, but if you guys still are trying to dabble on NBA games take the Spurs tonight.

    Lol thanks ad prob a good pick, but NBA for the most part no way.  That could hange though. Never know.  Good luck!
  • #1748 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 01 Nov 2012
  • You guys play NCAA hoops?
  • #1749 by yraciv on 01 Nov 2012
  • You guys play NCAA hoops?

    I couldn't do this year long. I throw in NBA or College Basketball games every now and then, but there are just way too many of them. I'll glance at those lines from time to time, but something really has to stick out. And I'm a bigger basketball fan, so can't say the temptation isn't there.
  • #1750 by sir-pigs-a-lot on 01 Nov 2012
  • Big 2-0 Thursday night. I'm killing Thursday night football. To say I'm on the best run of my life is an understatement . I imagine I'll cool off again eventually, but for now I am on fire and enjoying the ride.
Pages:
Actions