3.3 yds per carry - mizzou D

[twistitup]

per SB Nation:
"Arkansas offensive line vs. Missouri defensive line. The Razorbacks have the biggest front unit in the country, but they'll be going against one of the nation's best defensive lines in Missouri. Arkansas averages 5.2 yards per carry with 30 touchdowns on the ground (although they do more than that), while Missouri is giving up only 3.3 yards per carry with 7.7 tackles for loss per game."

http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2014/11/28/7282191/arkansas-missouri-game-time-tv-schedule-watch-online

This will be another good test for our o line

[HF#1]

Mizzou gave up 210 yards rushing against Georgia and 240 yards rushing against Indiana.  If we hit anything close to those marks, we win easily imo. 

I think our D-line is better than their d-line.

[HF#1]

They also gave up plenty through the air. 

[Lake City Hog]

Twist, if we can just split the difference between what we usually make and what they usually give up and average about 4.2 yards per carry we should fare very well.
Looking at 3rd and less than 2 gives us a huge advantage in play calling. I would love to see us have some 3rd and 2 situations and have Chaney spread 3 wides with Jwill taking a handoff just inside the tackle slot. He might run for a while!

[Hogopotamus]

Mizzou has great pass rushing DEs, but they are small in the middle (compared to what we have seen). We have struggled in pass protection against similar lines, but if we stick to mostly power run and short drop offs to tight ends, we should be ok.

[Locutus_of_Boar]

per SB Nation:
"Arkansas offensive line vs. Missouri defensive line. The Razorbacks have the biggest front unit in the country, but they'll be going against one of the nation's best defensive lines in Missouri. Arkansas averages 5.2 yards per carry with 30 touchdowns on the ground (although they do more than that), while Missouri is giving up only 3.3 yards per carry with 7.7 tackles for loss per game."

http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2014/11/28/7282191/arkansas-missouri-game-time-tv-schedule-watch-online

This will be another good test for our o line

Georgia averaged 3.6 YPC against Mizzou on 58 attempts and we all know how that turned out.

[Huckleberry Pig]

I know everyone brings up their games against Indiana and Georgia but this is later in the season and as we know you can definitely make adjustments throughout the year and get better. 

Don't know what makes everyone so sure we will go off for 240 on the ground.  Don't get me wrong, hope it happens!  But I don't think it's anything close to a given.  Mizzou may not be consistent but they are still a good team. 

I have less confidence in us for this game than I did against LSU and ole miss

[Pudgepork]

Ole Miss D was pretty much regarded one of the best in the nation if not the best.  They had only given up 10 pts total in the 1st half of games going into last week.

The Hogs O had success against that defense.  They scored on Ole Miss in the 1st half.  Brandon Allen went out in the 2nd quarter so we really don't have any idea how the offense would have gone from that point because the back up qb entering the game really cut down on the play calling.

Mizzou has a good defense.  The only team that their D has faced that is in the class of
the top 4 or 5 teams in the west division is UGA.   

[HF#1]

I know everyone brings up their games against Indiana and Georgia but this is later in the season and as we know you can definitely make adjustments throughout the year and get better. 

Don't know what makes everyone so sure we will go off for 240 on the ground.  Don't get me wrong, hope it happens!  But I don't think it's anything close to a given.  Mizzou may not be consistent but they are still a good team. 

I have less confidence in us for this game than I did against LSU and ole miss

I don't think we have to rush for 240.  I think anything between 150-200 could and will get the job done.  It's easy to say that about Ole Miss and LSU now that we have beat them. 

Mizzou is a good team but we have been through the tougher battles imo.  The pressure is on them to win the East. 

[Hogarusa]

Hogs have 632 rushing yards on 202 attempts for an avg of 3.12 ypc in their last 5 SEC games.  OL needs to reestablish how giant they really are. 

[GolfnHog]

I'll just say, as it relates to this game, that I'm as nervous as a whore in church. I do think that JW and AC run as angry as Chubb so I'm hoping that we get a lot of YAC on each run play.

[Zoufan]

Actually Georgia's offense had less to do with that blowout than Mizzous 6 turnovers.  Florida 'swamped' Ga far worse with the running game than Ga did us.  We simply went three and out or turned it over all game long.  It still felt like a competitive game into second half because of the D.

The problem with thinking you can simply run the ball at a 3 or 4 yard average if our offense doesn't repeat the six turnover debacle and is moderately effective is that you will likely bog down or get behind the chains.  I could be wrong but suspect you winning will depend on your ability to throw.  Likely will get well under 200 on the ground.  IMO your tight ends are key along with avoiding turnovers as goes for both teams.  I seriously doubt if either team has much over 300 yards total offense. 

It won't be bean bag out there for either team. Hope all come out healthy ..and the Hogs win their bowl to get a 7th victory.

[sigpooie]

Elmo figured it out.http://home.earthlink.net/~drbranam/ncaafootball.htm
he has us at number 1

[razorsharptusk]

I expect to see a heavy passing game from Missouri.

[TigerMattSTL]

One comment about Missouri's defense early in the season vs Indiana in rushing and somewhat against Georgia.  Our linebackers looked absolutely clueless and were constantly out of position.  That has changed a lot as the young guys have gained experience.

Missouri's offense must have some sustained drives and not turn the ball over.  The Georgia game the defense played pretty well, but being on the field for 43:18 just wore the defense down.

[ICEman]

Let's look at the math... 3.3 yards/carry X 3 carries = 9.9 yards or just a bit less than 4 inches needed to keep the sticks moving.

[HF#1]

Not sure why folks think that if you don't average 5 + yards per carry then you can't run the ball. 

Pretty sure we are up there in fewest 3rd down situations.  We get first downs regularly and our conversion rate on 3rd down is pretty damn good. 

We may only average 3.3 a carry, but it's a quality 3.3 yards.

[BigE_23]

I expect to see a heavy passing game from Missouri.

nope...they're going to try and establish the run. They're averaging about 240 yards per game in their last 2 games on the ground.

[TigerMattSTL]

Missouri passes to set up the run.  They will take shots down field to test the Hogs secondary.

[HF#1]

Missouri passes to set up the run.  They will take shots down field to test the Hogs secondary.

I hope so...  The way our secondary is playing, I like it.  We had a coach that did that.  When he faced teams like present day Arkansas, he got killed.

[King]

Let's look at the math... 3.3 yards/carry X 3 carries = 9.9 yards or just a bit less than 4 inches needed to keep the sticks moving.

BINGO.  Ratchet it up to 3.4 and Mizzou will hardly touch the ball.

[A.K.A.]

Got to consider the opponents they played.

[LSPRazorbac]

Also remember what those stats are built on:

SEC yards per rush ranking:

14th ranked Tenn 
13th ranked vanderbilt
12th ranked Kentucky
10th ranked Florida
7th ranked Texas A&M
6th ranked South Carolina
1st ranked Georgia


So its a little skewed.

Whereas we have faced

11th ranked Ole Miss
9th ranked LSU
7th ranked Texas A&M
5th ranked Bama
3rd ranked Miss St.
2nd ranked Auburn
1st ranked Georgia

[LJHOG]

We probably averaged 5 yards a carry between the tackles and maybe 0 outside.