Why I belive we will destroy Missouri on Friday

[FaulknerHogfan]

We will win by more than 21 points. Numbers don't lie, but they don't tell the truth.. By the numbers:

Points to support the numbers:
*  Per ESPN SOS, AR #1 and MS #43
*  AR played 7-Ranked teams to MS 2
*  GA beat AR by 13 and GA beat MS by 34 - Advantage AR by 21
*  Take these intangible points into consideration when reviewing the statistical numbers

Team   Opp. Win %   Opp. Won-Loss   Non-Con Opp.
Arkansas   0.656   103-54   .510 (26-25)
Missouri   0.556   84-67   .647 (33-18)

Overall Schedule: Advantage AR by 6 points

                   AR   Mis    Advantage
Opp Score           243   222    -21
Team Score   322   349     27

SEC Schedule: Advantage AR by 2

                  AR   Mis    Advantage
Opp Score           156   139    -17
Team Score   151   170     19

Ranked Opponents: Advantage AR by 16

                  AR   Mis   Advantage
Opp Score           22   27    5
Team Score   22   11   -11

Summary:

Vegas has Missouri by 3.5 points and the home team is always giving 3 points.  So Vegas has this game as a pick em.  Arkansas has the highest percentage of covering the spread in college football this year returning 300%.  Missouri has only played ONE quality opponent and was destroyed (GA) and laid a goose egg.  We at least scored 32 points and with the exception of the worse quarter in AR history, we could have been much more competitive.  Also, given the fact that we have NOT been scored on since NOV 1st in a 7 point loss to the then #1 team in the nation...OUR D IS HOT! 

More Stats:

Offense: Advantage AR
Passing Yards:  AR #10 - Missouri #11
Rushing Yards: AR #4 - Missouri #9

Defense: Advantage Mizz  Not true as compared to JUST ranked teams

Total D AR#12 - Mizz #4

[LSPRazorbac]

Rule of thumb is that the home team gets 3 points it's not exact.

[oldhawg]

Statistics are fun, but a whole lot of intangibles ride on the game Saturday.

For example:
1.  A chance for Missouri to go to back to back SEC championship games.
2.  A chance for Arkansas to insure that they will have a winning season.
3.  Missouri's quarterback has played well since the Georgia game.
4.  Arkansas's quarterback may or may not be at 100% ability, with a lot of inexperience by the back-up.
5.  Missouri is playing at home.
6.  Arkansas has not won an "away" conference game this year.
7.  SOS is a nice barometer, but the fact is Arkansas has won  2 of 7 games against ranked opponents.
8.  Albeit Missouri 1-1 against ranked opponents. (I know, statistics slipped in)

Prediction:  Arkansas wins by ten to fourteen points.
Deciding factor:  Arkansas has a better coaching staff from top to bottom than Missouri.

[Razorback de Nosferatu]

The line right now is Hogs -2, per CBS and

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/

[Mizzou Bushwacker]

Gosh, why does the Missouri football team even bother to play the game?.  Is Arkansas going to be nice enough to at least let MU score a field goal?. After all, it's the Thanksgiving Day weekend!.   

[regi]

Gosh, why does the Missouri football team even bother to play the game?.  Is Arkansas going to be nice enough to at least let MU score a field goal?. After all, it's the Thanksgiving Day weekend!.   

Not sure why we let you Yankees in to be honest. So really wish we didn't have to play you guys and we could play a legit SEC team like LSU, but life sucks sometimes.

[AloRaptor]

Gosh, why does the Missouri football team even bother to play the game?.  Is Arkansas going to be nice enough to at least let MU score a field goal?. After all, it's the Thanksgiving Day weekend!.   

I sure hope not. Ending the regular season with 3 shut outs would be incredible!!  :razorback:

[Ethan2010]

Gosh, why does the Missouri football team even bother to play the game?.  Is Arkansas going to be nice enough to at least let MU score a field goal?. After all, it's the Thanksgiving Day weekend!.   

Be thankful that we will only take your east championship dream and your pride. It could be worse.  The hogs will crush you, you will be driven before them and Lamentations of your women will be heard. No mercy, we're gonna show you something alright.

[hawgbawb]

Not sure why we let you Yankees in to be honest. So really wish we didn't have to play you guys and we could play a legit SEC team like LSU, but life sucks sometimes.

Interesting attitude, from a relative newcomer to the SEC. And for the record, Arkansas is the proud home of many a yankee transplant (including my parents).  We are a better state as a result. 

I am a proud Arkansan, but will never understand rebel pride and homerism.

[The real Hogules]

What does our numbers VS Mississippi have to do with the outcome of our impending clash with Missouri?

[Boston RedHogs]

What does our numbers VS Mississippi have to do with the outcome of our impending clash with Missouri?

Exactly.  I don't like comparing common opponents.  It tells you nothing.  So many things change week in and week out that making those comparisons is an exercise in futility.

[jgphillips3]

If we had played Mizzou in 2012 or 2013, they would have stomped us.  If they had caught us in the beginning of this season, I would have picked them to win.  Our defense is on fire and our team is hungry.  After our meat grinder schedule and their far weaker schedule, we are ready to take this one.  I'd say we win 28-21 at worst.  It may be 31-17. 

They have a good D-line, but we have just faced two of the best D-lines in the conference and Mizzou is really a better pass rushing D-line than run stopper, not particularly helpful against the Razorbacks unless you jump on us early and get way ahead.  Unless we shoot ourselves in the foot, this should be a W for us and stoke the "rivalry" a bit.

[robs4516]

Statistics are fun, but a whole lot of intangibles ride on the game Saturday.

For example:
1.  A chance for Missouri to go to back to back SEC championship games.

4.  Arkansas's quarterback may or may not be at 100% ability, with a lot of inexperience by the back-up.

Those are the two that worry me the most.

[regi]

Interesting attitude, from a relative newcomer to the SEC. And for the record, Arkansas is the proud home of many a yankee transplant (including my parents).  We are a better state as a result. 

I am a proud Arkansan, but will never understand rebel pride and homerism.

24 years is not a newcomer, and prior to that we were in the SOUTHwest Conference, wise move by your parents to come to the land of real football. It is SEC southern Football pride. Rebel pride is across the river in Mississippi. Yankee apologist

[danger1011]

Gosh, why does the Missouri football team even bother to play the game?.  Is Arkansas going to be nice enough to at least let MU score a field goal?. After all, it's the Thanksgiving Day weekend!.   

When you play a traditional power like Arkansas, you just have to pull down your pants, bend over, and hope they use lube. (Not a traditional courtesy granted by the backwoods residents of Arkansas)

Arkansas is unbeatable this year, with 5 exceptions.

[Atlhogfan1]

For those unfamiliar with the board, this thread appears every game week no matter the opponent.  Just change the name of the opponent and day. 

[MultipleScoreGasms]

   Now that's funny right there.

Arkansas is unbeatable this year, with 5 exceptions.
[/quote]

[FaulknerHogfan]

It's all fun, but the points are correct...  its not always the best team that wins its the ones that want it the most.

[JaketheSnake]

You has lot's of grammer problem.

I want to believe that we will blow MO out Friday. I am honestly still a little gunshy about the team even though they have shown off the past two weeks.  It's a different kind of gunshy though... not worried about getting blown out, its more of "will we allow them to score" type of gunshy!

[The Marmot]

I believe we will destroy Missouri on Friday because I'm a Hog fan.

[FaulknerHogfan]

You has lot's of grammer problem.

I want to believe that we will blow MO out Friday. I am honestly still a little gunshy about the team even though they have shown off the past two weeks.  It's a different kind of gunshy though... not worried about getting blown out, its more of "will we allow them to score" type of gunshy!

Damn grammar police.  This is message board, not a freaking thesis paper..

[AloRaptor]

Interesting attitude, from a relative newcomer to the SEC. And for the record, Arkansas is the proud home of many a yankee transplant (including my parents).  We are a better state as a result. 

I am a proud Arkansan, but will never understand rebel pride and homerism.

I was 21 before I knew damnyankee was 2 words.
A yankee comes down to visit--- A damnyankee stays. J/K

Best 2 yankee jokes I know.

[tangman]

We beat Mizzou to save them the embarrassment of getting brutally slaughtered in the SEC Conference Championship game. Mercy killing.

[Kevin]

Their d line is the kind that gives our oline problems.  Going to be a tough roAd game

[KennyForAD]

Arkansas will run the ball down Mizzou's throat in the same way they did TT.   Mizzou is weak against the run. There is no cure for that.  They have no chance against teams with a power running game.  That is Football 101.  Hogs may not shut them out, but it will be similar to Hogs vs. TT and UGA at Mizzou.  Total domination.

[Hawgzinbowlz]

With the intangibles and facts as they are...I'll be happy with a 1 point win.

" GO HOGS "

[Lucky Draw]

 I just watched your last game. Big blowout of #8 Ole Miss. Go back and honestly look at that game. I saw a gimpy quarterback( BO )throwing INT's in the red zone. I saw their Dline stop you quite a few times, once on the goalline. Multiple give aways by Ole Miss. Then they packed it in the second half. You may do the same thing to Mizzou, but I dont see the domination you talk about. And one more thing, everybody talking about DE's but Missouri is strong and deep at the DT spot. If you get to the second level and our LB's have to make tackles 5 yards back then you will win. Like we say "show me". You are a good team and it will be a great game. Good Luck

[HF#1]

I tend to agree.  The only physical team Mizzou played, killed them.  I think we win and make a huge statement to the rest of the league.

And as far as Mizzou "playing for the SEC east"...  That is pressure.  Pressure on them.  Most of the time, most teams, fold in that situation. 

[qbrew]

I just watched your last game. Big blowout of #8 Ole Miss. Go back and honestly look at that game. I saw a gimpy quarterback( BO )throwing INT's in the red zone. I saw their Dline stop you quite a few times, once on the goalline. Multiple give aways by Ole Miss. Then they packed it in the second half. You may do the same thing to Mizzou, but I dont see the domination you talk about.

You just described the domination yourself.  Bo didn't start gimpy,  sacks made him gimpy.  It was 17-0 when he got hurt.  Bo hadn't thrown but one pick in conference play all season. We made #8 look terrible. If you don see that as domination,  you just don't want to.

Yes, their defense made some great stops, they are one of the best in the country.  We still ate their lunch.

I think Mizzou will be a tough game,  but don't kid yourself by thinking the hogs haven't earned their last two shutout wins.

[FaulknerHogfan]

I just watched your last game. Big blowout of #8 Ole Miss. Go back and honestly look at that game. I saw a gimpy quarterback( BO )throwing INT's in the red zone. I saw their Dline stop you quite a few times, once on the goalline. Multiple give aways by Ole Miss. Then they packed it in the second half. You may do the same thing to Mizzou, but I dont see the domination you talk about. And one more thing, everybody talking about DE's but Missouri is strong and deep at the DT spot. If you get to the second level and our LB's have to make tackles 5 yards back then you will win. Like we say "show me". You are a good team and it will be a great game. Good Luck

We shut out a top 10 team...

[greenie]

I just watched your last game. Big blowout of #8 Ole Miss. Go back and honestly look at that game. I saw a gimpy quarterback( BO )throwing INT's in the red zone. I saw their Dline stop you quite a few times, once on the goalline. Multiple give aways by Ole Miss. Then they packed it in the second half. You may do the same thing to Mizzou, but I dont see the domination you talk about. And one more thing, everybody talking about DE's but Missouri is strong and deep at the DT spot. If you get to the second level and our LB's have to make tackles 5 yards back then you will win. Like we say "show me". You are a good team and it will be a great game. Good Luck

Mizzou is a good team with a decent Dline.  However, their Dline is in no way as good as the Ole Miss, Alabama, Auburn, LSU, or Miss State Dlines.  It was exposed by good running teams (GA and Indiana). 

Perhaps Mizzou has more to play for, and that will have an impact.  I like being the underdog...just like in every other SEC game this year.  We beat every team we were suppose to beat, and a few we weren't.  This will be a fun game.

[KennyForAD]

I just watched your last game. Big blowout of #8 Ole Miss. Go back and honestly look at that game. I saw a gimpy quarterback( BO )throwing INT's in the red zone. I saw their Dline stop you quite a few times, once on the goalline. Multiple give aways by Ole Miss. Then they packed it in the second half. You may do the same thing to Mizzou, but I dont see the domination you talk about. And one more thing, everybody talking about DE's but Missouri is strong and deep at the DT spot. If you get to the second level and our LB's have to make tackles 5 yards back then you will win. Like we say "show me". You are a good team and it will be a great game. Good Luck

Well.. call your bookie.  Bet the house on Mizzou.  Good luck.

[3kgthog]

Their d line is the kind that gives our oline problems.  Going to be a tough roAd game

This. Skipper is going to have a long day. Look for the big guy's lack of athleticism to be exposed.

[Speedracer]

I have more respect for Mizzou than I think most do.  I don't see us destroying Mizzou by any means.  They have a ton to play for and at home with a streaky QB.  Personally if Arkansas wins by 1 pt in the sloppiest game of the season, I'll take it and smile

[Rzback]

Hope you are right FaulknerHog Fan

[LZH]

Rule of thumb is that the home team gets 3 points it's not exact.

It used to be 4 points.  Anyway, after watching Mizzou punk out earlier this year - roll over and stick their azz in the air when they got hit in the mouth - I think we will mash their taters for them tomorrow.  And quite well, I might add.

[razorbackkid]

Matty Mauk is gonna get bruised up when it takes off running.  I doubt he survives the first half.

Hogs win 31-13.

[FaulknerHogfan]

Matty Mauk is gonna get bruised up when it takes off running.  I doubt he survives the first half.

Hogs win 31-13.

Yes to this

[Fort Dweller]

Leave it to a Mizzou fan to say a team losing by 30, being shut out and committing 5 turnovers isn't being dominated.  I guess losing by 34, being shutout at home, and committing 6 turnovers isn't being dominated either.