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Serious question- All input welcome (HIM)

Started by 007 License To Squeal, June 20, 2013, 08:22:36 pm

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007 License To Squeal

If a person was heavily invested in physical PMs, how would you suggest a solid diversification.......focused on some growth, but minimum loss?
******Proud Member of Hogville.net since May 22, 2003, 08:17:38 PM*******

PEtrader

If you are growth focused, but don't want loss, you should avoid PMs.  The are very volatile.  Look at the mkt today vs gold.
Oddball on NWA: "I'm drinking wine and eating cheese, and catching some rays, you know. "

 

PEtrader

PMs have their place,  but alot of you guys bought into the fear trade that we have been telling you was there.  If you didn't sell,  now you are going to pay.  Might go back up a bit in the short term,  but will get crushed as the economy comes back and QE is halted.
Oddball on NWA: "I'm drinking wine and eating cheese, and catching some rays, you know. "

Old Tusk

PMs should be the last piece of a portfolio , a.nd then only for specific purposes. For instance, my IRA has no PM allowcation because I am 68 and miight have to use it. A conseretive aplroxach is ,called for.My trust is for my grand kids with at least a30 yr timefrAme. A more aggressive investment strategy is called for. I chose to put 10% into an insurance policy. No one here knows what will happen next week much less in 30 yrs. But you need income noww. There are many munis out there that bave 6% yield. Build a portfolio of them until u have a steady income stream which you canuse to invest in riskier assets. PMs are insurance so you need something to insure first.
The Democrats are the party that says government can make you richer, smarter, taller and get the crabgrass out of our lawn. Republicans are the party that says government doesn't work, and then they get elected and prove it....P.J. O'Rourke

Lanny

Precious metals should be looked upon as a hobby, be careful about investing heavily in anything this volatile.  Rare coin collecting is the better investment, coins don't drop as quick with the silver and gold market.  Look at Morgan dollars and barber half dollars, franklins
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

dafe1

There is certainly a place for metals in a portfolio. Now is the time for platinum & palladium though - not gold and silver.

Rare coins are a great alternative investment. You have to verify what you're doing and who you're doing it with though. There is a lot of misinformation in that market. Old does not mean rare; you need to make sure you're invested in key dates and rarities that are not linked to metals whatsoever.

Investing in common date Saints, liberties, Morgans, etc is just investing in gold/silver while exposing yourself to the premiums market dictated by your large TV marketing companies.  You really should exercise caution with that.

OldPoop

IMO rare coins are like baseball cards and rare stamps.  In good times when people have income to play with they go up and are great investments.   In tough times people have better uses for their money, like food and shelter.  If you are of the opinion that everything is going to be fine, and you turn out to be right, it 's a good investment.

However, I've read that in countries that have gone through currency collapse in recent history, only the % and weight of precious metal in the coin was of value.  No one cared about production numbers or age.  In that situation your money would go farther with plain bullion.
We are fast approaching the stage of the ultimate inversion: the stage where the government is free to do anything it pleases, while the citizens my act only by permission.   Ayn Rand

You get what you pay for.   You pay for zombies, you get all you want – and then some. 
Milton Friedman
"To say the government is the source of prosperity is like saying that the ticks are keeping the dog alive."  Jeff Tucker
Government attracts sociopaths the way an open bar attracts alcoholics.      Doug Casey
War - the government tells you who the bad guy is . . . . . Revolution - you figure it out for yourself.

Lanny

Quote from: OldPoop on June 23, 2013, 12:41:40 pm
IMO rare coins are like baseball cards and rare stamps.  In good times when people have income to play with they go up and are great investments.   In tough times people have better uses for their money, like food and shelter.  If you are of the opinion that everything is going to be fine, and you turn out to be right, it 's a good investment.

However, I've read that in countries that have gone through currency collapse in recent history, only the % and weight of precious metal in the coin was of value.  No one cared about production numbers or age.  In that situation your money would go farther with plain bullion.
rare coins will hold value over bullion
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

HOGLIGULA

June 24, 2013, 10:50:26 pm #8 Last Edit: June 25, 2013, 09:23:06 am by coolhandluke31
Quote from: Lanny on June 24, 2013, 03:34:29 pm
rare coins will hold value over bullion

Unless you experience rapid inflation, see ex, Germany after(but during) WWII, Japan in the early to  mid 90's, and pretty much any other country over the last 60 years.  Coins become like any other PM, which requires a  need outside normal collectors for that commodity, which is only  normally needed only in high inflation scenarios(paper money is hauled by the truck load. I get that investing in coins is easier(has another valuation other than the price of gold) than owning physical gold(market) or other pm's (less risk if only  based on rarity), but there are always those who think any pm investment is destined for failure.  If you invest in anything you have to understand the investment to a degree.  Now how likely is hyper inflation to happen?  Not likely so holding coins is good alternative to buying gold on the open market currentky
Look in the heat of conversation I may have said things I don't believe to be true. "So you lied." Are you slow, the alleged lie you might have heard me saying allegedly moments ago that is a parasite that lives in my neck.

Lanny

purchased some rare walking liberty,barber halves and a roll of ASE today
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

HognotinMemphis

I don't want you to agree with me because you're weak. I want you to agree with me because you know I'm right.
______________________
President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans and to heal the planet. My promise is to help you and your family." - Mitt Romney

PEtrader

Quote from: Lanny on June 24, 2013, 03:34:29 pm
rare coins will hold value over bullion

I have always been intrigued by that on a personal level.  I had a client back in the day that split his investments with us and his coin collection. 

You guys that buy coins, how do you select them and do you buy and hold?
Oddball on NWA: "I'm drinking wine and eating cheese, and catching some rays, you know. "

Lanny

Quote from: PEtrader on June 26, 2013, 09:06:20 am
I have always been intrigued by that on a personal level.  I had a client back in the day that split his investments with us and his coin collection. 

You guys that buy coins, how do you select them and do you buy and hold?
I own many sets of coins, the Key date coins hold value and don't swing with the price of gold and silver.  The better investment is rare coins over bullion however I collect for a hobby, Maples,Panda's and Silver Eagles
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

 

Lanny

Here are some Key Date coins to consider

1885 Liberty Nickel
1885 CC Morgan Dollar
1894 Morgan Dollar
1893 S Morgan Dollar
1932 S Washington
1932 D Washington
1916 D Mercury Dime
1922 weak D Lincoln
1909 S VDB Lincoln

Here's a neat site to review.  Link

Yes I own all of the above
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

007 License To Squeal

Quote from: Lanny on June 26, 2013, 08:44:10 am
purchased some rare walking liberty,barber halves and a roll of ASE today

We need to talk.  I have some interesting coins.  What do you think about AGEs?
******Proud Member of Hogville.net since May 22, 2003, 08:17:38 PM*******

HOGLIGULA

Quote from: HoginMemphis on June 26, 2013, 08:49:07 am/
This is fact.

Only in  a normal market( banking on rarity as a selling/ value point works for the intelligent investor.  You do not believe in commodities why are you tasting again?
Look in the heat of conversation I may have said things I don't believe to be true. "So you lied." Are you slow, the alleged lie you might have heard me saying allegedly moments ago that is a parasite that lives in my neck.

HOGLIGULA

June 26, 2013, 10:30:38 pm #16 Last Edit: June 27, 2013, 08:52:06 am by coolhandluke31
Quote from: Lanny on June 26, 2013, 07:45:30 pm
Here are some Key Date coins to consider

1885 Liberty Nickel
1885 CC Morgan Dollar
1894 Morgan Dollar
1893 S Morgan Dollar
1932 S Washington
1932 D Washington
1916 D Mercury Dime
1922 weak D Lincoln
1909 S VDB Lincoln

Here's a neat site to review.  Link

Yes I own all of the above

Lanny, a quick question how much do these cost?  I know you posted a value guide, but what are actually paying vs the price of gold or silver?
Look in the heat of conversation I may have said things I don't believe to be true. "So you lied." Are you slow, the alleged lie you might have heard me saying allegedly moments ago that is a parasite that lives in my neck.

Lanny

Quote from: coolhandluke31 on June 26, 2013, 10:30:38 pm
Lanny, a quick question how much do these cost?  I know you posted a value guide, but what are actually paying vs the price of gold or silver?
depends on the grade for the coin and if the coins are slabbed.  Gold and silver values have little swing on rare coins
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

dafe1

Rare coins are an entirely separate market from gold/silver. If you're even talking about the two in relation to one another you are not investing in true rarities.

Being slabbed doesn't mean rare. Having a premium does not mean rare. Being old does not mean rare. Being numismatic does not mean rare.

HOGLIGULA

June 28, 2013, 10:51:14 pm #19 Last Edit: June 29, 2013, 06:58:22 am by coolhandluke31
Quote from: dafe1 on June 27, 2013, 10:06:38 pm
Rare coins are an entirely separate market from gold/silver. If you're even talking about the two in relation to one another you are not investing in true rarities.

Being slabbed doesn't mean rare. Having a premium does not mean rare. Being old does not mean rare. Being numismatic does not mean rare.

Thanks, for nothing.   Some people are investing in coins based on the actual gold or silver content not any other factors. 
Look in the heat of conversation I may have said things I don't believe to be true. "So you lied." Are you slow, the alleged lie you might have heard me saying allegedly moments ago that is a parasite that lives in my neck.

Lanny

Rare coins are not necessary tied with gold and silver.  Look at the values for 1885,1886 and 1912 S Liberty Nickels, 1955 DD, 1909 S VDB Lincoln Penny, 1877 Indian Head Penny.  A slabbed coin means it has been checked and proved to be legit.  There are alot of counterfeit coins out there and the best way to tell for rare coins are slabbed.
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

OldPoop

Quote from: Lanny on June 29, 2013, 04:39:29 am
Rare coins are not necessary tied with gold and silver.  Look at the values for 1885,1886 and 1912 S Liberty Nickels, 1955 DD, 1909 S VDB Lincoln Penny, 1877 Indian Head Penny.  A slabbed coin means it has been checked and proved to be legit.  There are alot of counterfeit coins out there and the best way to tell for rare coins are slabbed.

I guess they haven't figured out yet how to counterfeit the cardboard slabs.
We are fast approaching the stage of the ultimate inversion: the stage where the government is free to do anything it pleases, while the citizens my act only by permission.   Ayn Rand

You get what you pay for.   You pay for zombies, you get all you want – and then some. 
Milton Friedman
"To say the government is the source of prosperity is like saying that the ticks are keeping the dog alive."  Jeff Tucker
Government attracts sociopaths the way an open bar attracts alcoholics.      Doug Casey
War - the government tells you who the bad guy is . . . . . Revolution - you figure it out for yourself.

dafe1

Being slabbed does not mean rare. 450,000
Slabbed 1924 St. Gaudens... numismatic, but common and generic - anything but rare. Modern bullion, GAEs and whatnot, slabbed and graded - not rare whatsoever. Common date Morgan's: hundreds of thousands graded and slabbed. Not rare.

Being graded and slabbed is more of an authentication thing than anything. 80million+ coins have been graded between PCGS and NGC. Only 2-3% of those you could consider rare

Lanny

 Slabbed containters can be counterfeited but unless you're an idiot, one can tell by weight and magnetic test on coins.
"It's only a game if you win but if you lose it's a stinking waste of time."

Al Bundy

 

Dumb ole famrboy

Rare coins - you buy at retail and sale at wholesale. Sure you can sell your collection at retail - 1 coin at a time - but there is not much liquidity in this approach. 

OldPoop

Quote from: Lanny on June 29, 2013, 10:59:05 pm
Slabbed containters can be counterfeited but unless you're an idiot, one can tell by weight and magnetic test on coins.

Tungsten is not magnetic.
So you had better have a very accurate scale, and know exactly what that slab weighs without the coin, and know the true weight of the coin, to make a correct assessment.
We are fast approaching the stage of the ultimate inversion: the stage where the government is free to do anything it pleases, while the citizens my act only by permission.   Ayn Rand

You get what you pay for.   You pay for zombies, you get all you want – and then some. 
Milton Friedman
"To say the government is the source of prosperity is like saying that the ticks are keeping the dog alive."  Jeff Tucker
Government attracts sociopaths the way an open bar attracts alcoholics.      Doug Casey
War - the government tells you who the bad guy is . . . . . Revolution - you figure it out for yourself.

dafe1

Counterfeiting is not a major issue because your two major grading agencies, PCGS and NGC, back their grade and authenticity with a replacement value guarantee.

OldPoop

Quote from: dafe1 on July 01, 2013, 02:11:35 pm
Counterfeiting is not a major issue because your two major grading agencies, PCGS and NGC, back their grade and authenticity with a replacement value guarantee.

Cool.

So if I can find a cheap slabbed counterfeit, all I have to do is send it in to them and they will replace it with the real thing?   

I can see some real possibilities here, I think I have been missing out by not being interested in graded coins.
We are fast approaching the stage of the ultimate inversion: the stage where the government is free to do anything it pleases, while the citizens my act only by permission.   Ayn Rand

You get what you pay for.   You pay for zombies, you get all you want – and then some. 
Milton Friedman
"To say the government is the source of prosperity is like saying that the ticks are keeping the dog alive."  Jeff Tucker
Government attracts sociopaths the way an open bar attracts alcoholics.      Doug Casey
War - the government tells you who the bad guy is . . . . . Revolution - you figure it out for yourself.

dafe1

No, the grading agencies only back the authenticity of the coins in their product/slab. If you have a counterfeit slab you're screwed. That being said, your more reputable and higher end brokers will guarantee that what they are selling is an authentic PCGS/NGC holder.

Counterfeit slabs are extremely rare anyways though. Just use reputable brokers and there isn't any risk of a counterfeit slab or coin.

OldPoop

Quote from: dafe1 on July 02, 2013, 02:25:36 pm
No, the grading agencies only back the authenticity of the coins in their product/slab. If you have a counterfeit slab you're screwed. That being said, your more reputable and higher end brokers will guarantee that what they are selling is an authentic PCGS/NGC holder.

Counterfeit slabs are extremely rare anyways though. Just use reputable brokers and there isn't any risk of a counterfeit slab or coin.

So that brings us right back to square one.

My point is that if crooks can counterfeit coins and paper currency well enough to pass, how difficult could it be to print a slab, logo and all?   Perhaps they slab an excellent fake coin, or perhaps they include a real coin, just inflate the grade.

I agree, so as long as you buy from a reputable broker that bought directly from the grading agency you will be alright. 
Okay, what then?  You are holding a real coin with an accurate grade, but you are not a reputable dealer or a grading agency.  So who do you sell to?   To someone that trusts you are not knowingly or unknowingly selling a fake?   For safety do you never ever buy from an individual?   Do you sell it back to the dealer?  If so that means he is buying slabs off the street, which brings the chance for fraud into the chain of events.

I admit I have never bought or looked into slabbed coins, so I am an outsider and could be wrong.  But imo, in the long run, they are not any safer than 1 oz bullion (which is easy to weigh) and could possibly be less safe since much more profit could be made from just one fake.
We are fast approaching the stage of the ultimate inversion: the stage where the government is free to do anything it pleases, while the citizens my act only by permission.   Ayn Rand

You get what you pay for.   You pay for zombies, you get all you want – and then some. 
Milton Friedman
"To say the government is the source of prosperity is like saying that the ticks are keeping the dog alive."  Jeff Tucker
Government attracts sociopaths the way an open bar attracts alcoholics.      Doug Casey
War - the government tells you who the bad guy is . . . . . Revolution - you figure it out for yourself.

dafe1

Quote from: OldPoop on July 05, 2013, 11:23:27 pm
So that brings us right back to square one.

My point is that if crooks can counterfeit coins and paper currency well enough to pass, how difficult could it be to print a slab, logo and all?   Perhaps they slab an excellent fake coin, or perhaps they include a real coin, just inflate the grade.

I agree, so as long as you buy from a reputable broker that bought directly from the grading agency you will be alright. 
Okay, what then?  You are holding a real coin with an accurate grade, but you are not a reputable dealer or a grading agency.  So who do you sell to?   To someone that trusts you are not knowingly or unknowingly selling a fake?   For safety do you never ever buy from an individual?   Do you sell it back to the dealer?  If so that means he is buying slabs off the street, which brings the chance for fraud into the chain of events.

I admit I have never bought or looked into slabbed coins, so I am an outsider and could be wrong.  But imo, in the long run, they are not any safer than 1 oz bullion (which is easy to weigh) and could possibly be less safe since much more profit could be made from just one fake.

Your high-end reputable dealers all have top notch traders/numismatists which is why they can guarantee the authenticity of the product. You can always have appraisals done by these places. They also buy products. You can also go the route of one of the major auction houses.

It really isn't a big deal. Counterfeits are too easy to spot in this industry and are thus extremely rare. It's even more rare to find a counterfeit slab. Counterfeiting is primarily done in bullion markets - i.e. bars of zinc with gold around the edges.