Spring Weather Thread

[NVRyield]

I just heard bad news from our neighbors.  Sorry to hear about our brothers and sisters in Oklahoma again.  We may hate each other's teams, but we are still a band of siblings that have love for one another.  God Bless

[NVRyield]

Warning language....
Yet our brothers to the west
@Jay_Chapman: I-35 in Moore earlier this evening  RT @Blacintosh004 This is unreal!!! https://t.co/HOFLI7Jb5T ... #okwx

Sorry never learned to embed a video

[Hogfaniam]

Snowing in Marion this morning.

[TheRazorback500]

Sixty degrees in Texarkana, 35 in Batesville. Wow.

:razorback:

[NVRyield]

Todd Yakoubian ‏@KATV_Weather  28m28 minutes ago
We have concern for another round of strong/severe storms late this afternoon into the evening.  Wind and hail #ARWX

This pattern will be around for the next few days....

[NVRyield]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0175
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1239 PM CDT WED APR 01 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK...NWRN AR...SWRN MO AND SERN KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

   VALID 011739Z - 012015Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS MAY UNDERGO A SLOW BUT GRADUAL INCREASE IN
   INTENSITY INTO THE AFTERNOON FROM ERN OK INTO NWRN AR...SWRN MO AND
   SERN KS. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MIGHT BECOME CAPABLE OF
   PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. THE
   TIMING REGARDING IF AND WHEN STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE IS
   UNCERTAIN...AND ANY WW ISSUANCE WILL DEPEND ON CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

   DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM NRN MS
   INTO NCNTRL AND NWRN AR THEN WWD THROUGH SRN KS. DESTABILIZATION IS
   OCCURRING PRIMARILY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY AS DEWPOINTS
   RISE INTO THE LOW 60S AND TEMPERATURES WARM THROUGH THE 70S...THOUGH
   WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE DEBRIS IS SLOWING THE RATE OF DIABATIC WARMING
   WITHIN THE SFC LAYER. RADAR...SATELLITE AND RUC DATA SHOW AN MCV
   OVER NERN OK MOVING NEWD. DEEPER FORCING ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE
   IS AUGMENTING ASCENT AND PROMOTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW ELEVATED
   THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT FROM NWRN AR INTO SWRN MO.
   INFLOW FROM THE DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR MIGHT FOSTER A GRADUAL
   INCREASE IN INTENSITY OF STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM FRONT.
   MOREOVER...A MID-LEVEL JET ASSOCIATED WITH MCV CIRCULATION OVERLAPS
   THIS BOUNDARY FROM NERN OK...NWRN AR INTO SWRN MO RESULTING IN A
   NARROW CORRIDOR OF 30-40 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR WITHIN A BROADER AREA OF
   WEAKER VERTICAL SHEAR. WHILE MOST STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
   MULTICELL IN CHARACTER...A FEW STORMS COULD DEVELOP SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES IF ACTIVITY BECOMES ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER.

   ..DIAL/HART.. 04/01/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

   LAT...LON   37739352 37019239 36239213 35389264 35199374 35549478
               36709529 37779497 37739352

[NVRyield]

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center just updated a mesoscale discussion for most of Arkansas.  Storms are beginning to develop and cell tops are beginning to grow.


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0179
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0514 PM CDT WED APR 01 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN OK...AR...FAR SRN MO...WRN TN...AND NRN MS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

   VALID 012214Z - 012345Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE MID
   SOUTH OVER THE PAST HOUR...AND TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR
   POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ISSUANCE.

   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
   OVER THE PAST HOUR ALONG AND SWD OF A REMNANT STATIONARY FRONT
   DRAPED FROM E-CNTRL MO SEWD THROUGH WRN TN AND NRN AL. TEMPERATURES
   ACROSS THIS REGION GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO LOWER
   80S...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. THIS MODERATELY
   MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS COMBINED WITH MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND
   7.5 DEG C ARE PROMOTING MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG. BROAD LIFT AHEAD
   OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN PLAINS MAY PROMOTE
   ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH THE
   EARLY EVENING.

   WIND FIELDS ALOFT ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...WITH RECENT
   MESOANALYSIS AND VWP FROM AREA RADARS SUGGESTING EFFECTIVE BULK
   SHEAR VALUES GENERALLY RANGE FROM 25-40 KT. AN ONGOING MCV NE OF
   SPRINGFIELD MO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEWD INTO A LESS FAVORABLE
   THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...WHILE ANOTHER SMALL MCV EVIDENT JUST NE
   OF FORT SMITH AR IS MOVING NEWD AS WELL. MULTICELL THUNDERSTORMS
   WITH EMBEDDED WEAK SUPERCELL STRUCTURES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SRN MCV
   ARE MOVING INTO A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
   WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN THREATS. IF CONVECTIVE TRENDS CONTINUE TO
   SUGGEST INCREASING ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT
   HOUR OR SO ACROSS THE MID SOUTH...THEN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   MAY BE CONSIDERED.

   ..GLEASON/MEAD.. 04/01/2015


   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...

   LAT...LON   36999230 36869102 36479000 35588889 34438883 33978985
               33729118 33749313 33929462 34279480 34769474 35439437
               36289373 36809308 36999230

[NVRyield]

New tornado watch, storms developing in SE KS.

[NVRyield]

Here is a weather blog talking about the unstable atmosphere tomorrow with possible wind, hail and cannot rule out tornados.  The graphic I've attached shows a 45% chance of severe weather within 25 miles from any givin point within the darkest tan area.  I'll try and keep you posted, although my real job may prevent that.  So listen or watch the weather tomorrow from our west as the temps warm up tomorrow, especially if clouds break up in your area before the dry line approches, providing warmer (unstable) air. 
http://www.katv.com/category/192879/arkansas-weather-blog?clienttype=generic&mobilecgbypass

[NVRyield]

Hello fellow Hogs...
Other than pop ups the next round of storms approach the state late tonight and early morning hours.  Here is a petty good probability map and tweet from Todd for tomorrow.

@KATV_Weather: Probability for severe weather Sunday PM #arwx http://t.co/KC80BJDrvD