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OFFICIAL post your picks thread (sports investing)

Started by WILL CLINTON, August 28, 2011, 09:41:36 pm

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Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: widespreadsooie on October 17, 2014, 10:01:23 pm
Jeff,

I'm curious as to why you're high on OU?

I think OU the past few weeks has played further below their potential than almost any team out there. Was at the game when they lost to TCU. The eyeball test says they are loaded and not firing on all cylinders. They should have beat the frogs by 20. I'm
Thinking they snap out of it today playing at home.
Let's make some waves.

SPAL


 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

yraciv

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 18, 2014, 01:46:03 pm
Sooners playing no D today! Garbage.

Do they ever?  I wouldn't touch OU with a 10 foot poll after last week.

Fort Dweller

Baylor/WV could very likely have more total penalty yards than total offense.
Quote from: Fatty McGee on June 03, 2012, 09:43:59 pmRabid gay rampage?  That's quite a phrase.  I picture rundown neighborhoods being gentrified by angry, fit, childless, and well dressed mobs.
Quote from: sharpd1 on September 23, 2012, 08:33:21 pmSome of the people posting on here aren't good at brain stuff.
Quote from: PonderinHog on June 26, 2013, 11:15:49 pm
What if he chews a Poptart into the shape of two men holding hands - or worse?
Quote from: PharmacistHog on February 19, 2015, 10:09:07 am
Did you really click on the "report to moderator" button.  And not only that but do it on yourself? 

onebadrubi

Quote from: Fort Dweller on October 18, 2014, 02:03:55 pm
Baylor/WV could very likely have more total penalty yards than total offense.

I almost hit jackpot.  I laid a $50 parlay out and won 15/16... That one loss was Baylor!  MF'errrr!!!!

hollywood hog

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 18, 2014, 08:55:59 pm
I almost hit jackpot.  I laid a $50 parlay out and won 15/16... That one loss was Baylor!  MF'errrr!!!!

U covered 15 of 16 on a 50 dollar parlay?  Hard to believe you would be able to even bring yourself to type if true.  I hit a 10 team last year for like 11.25 and won 3300.  What is the payout for a 16 gamer?

hollywood hog

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 18, 2014, 08:55:59 pm
I almost hit jackpot.  I laid a $50 parlay out and won 15/16... That one loss was Baylor!  MF'errrr!!!!

Yeah, I'm showing that would pay out 1.5 mill.  Gotta call bs buddy.  Hope for your sake you're fibbing. 

onebadrubi

Quote from: hollywood hog on October 18, 2014, 09:09:46 pm
U covered 15 of 16 on a 50 dollar parlay?  Hard to believe you would be able to even bring yourself to type if true.  I hit a 10 team last year for like 11.25 and won 3300.  What is the payout for a 16 gamer?

It was on money lines, not ATS.  Haha I wish!

hollywood hog

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 18, 2014, 09:14:24 pm
It was on money lines, not ATS.  Haha I wish!

Ahhhhh.  Was wondering how u weren't still rolling around on the floor in pain.  :)

onebadrubi

Quote from: hollywood hog on October 18, 2014, 09:43:32 pm
Ahhhhh.  Was wondering how u weren't still rolling around on the floor in pain.  :)

Haha!!!  Oh I mean it hurt for sure, it would have covered my losses for te most year.  I'm gonna try again tomorrow on one slightly smaller.  I set a 10 teamed too and won 9/10 today, 10 being UNT (north tex) losing which was hugely favored over southern miss and at home. 

First weekend all year I didn't play Mich at and they covered huge!  Bastards.

Fort Dweller

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 18, 2014, 10:33:36 pm
First weekend all year I didn't play Mich at and they covered huge!  Bastards.

Indiana was down to their 3rd string, True Frosh QB.  Kind of fell apart after the 1st quarter
Quote from: Fatty McGee on June 03, 2012, 09:43:59 pmRabid gay rampage?  That's quite a phrase.  I picture rundown neighborhoods being gentrified by angry, fit, childless, and well dressed mobs.
Quote from: sharpd1 on September 23, 2012, 08:33:21 pmSome of the people posting on here aren't good at brain stuff.
Quote from: PonderinHog on June 26, 2013, 11:15:49 pm
What if he chews a Poptart into the shape of two men holding hands - or worse?
Quote from: PharmacistHog on February 19, 2015, 10:09:07 am
Did you really click on the "report to moderator" button.  And not only that but do it on yourself? 

widespreadsooie

3-2 today, bringing me to 21-18 on the year.

Won on MIZ +6, BC +5, and So. Miss +9.5
Lost on Minny -13.5 and WAS +20.5

 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Strange day.

Won both dime plays
Lost ALL four 5 unit plays
Won both three unit plays

So after figuring in the juice came out 400.00 to the good yesterday.
Let's make some waves.

clutch

Anybody liking today's games? I'm not finding many I like.

Hawgndaaz

I Like thee packers and cardinals. Maybe cowboys.

Yesterday would have been a good day without betting on the hogs. Netted -1.5 units

jkstock04

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 16, 2014, 10:37:13 pm
Here's what I have NCAA wise from tonight through Saturday...good luck everyone!

Virginia Tech vs. Pitt u45, NCAAF....5 unit bet, W

Utah -2.5 -110, NCAAF....2 unit bet, W

Baylor -7 -120 (buy ½ pt), NCAAF....3 unit bet, L

Georgia Tech -2.0 -115, NCAAF....2 unit bet, L

Boise State -17.0 -115, NCAAF.....2 unit bet, L

Clemson vs. Boston College u45 -120 (buy ½ pt), NCAAF.....5 unit bet, W

Tulane vs. Central Florida u45 -120 (buy ½ pt), NCAAF.....3 unit bet, W

Missouri vs. Florida u48 NCAAF.....2 unit bet, LOL Loss

Virginia vs. Duke u51½ -110, NCAAF.....2 unit bet, W

Washington vs. Oregon o64 -120 (buy ½ pt), NCAAF.....2 unit bet, W

Boston College +5.0 -110, NCAAF.....2 unit bet, W

Added:

Iowa +5.0 -115, NCAAF....2 unit bet, L

Mizzou +6.0 -115, NCAAF....2 unit bet, W

Kentucky +10.5 -110, NCAAF....2 unit bet, L


Well went 8-14 on my picks....and more importantly positive 10 units on my college football picks. As it turns out the lock of the day was Mizzou, shoulda has more on that one! I wanted them to win but they scored too many points and messed up my under bet! Lol

Pretty good overall though I'll take it.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

clutch

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 19, 2014, 09:56:21 am
Well went 8-14 on my picks....and more importantly positive 10 units on my college football picks. As it turns out the lock of the day was Mizzou, shoulda has more on that one! I wanted them to win but they scored too many points and messed up my under bet! Lol

Pretty good overall though I'll take it.

You mean their defense scored too much. That was ridiculous. I had the under too. Never dreamed the defense/ST would put up over 30.

My day would have been pretty good if I would have laid off of the Hogs and GT. Made up for a lot of it by taking ND in the night game though.

clutch

Quote from: Hawgndaaz on October 19, 2014, 09:52:56 am
I Like thee packers and cardinals. Maybe cowboys.

Yesterday would have been a good day without betting on the hogs. Netted -1.5 units

I'm scared of both of those games. Well all 3 considering you never know which giants team will show up. Still waiting for the Cowboys letdown too.

jkstock04

Quote from: clutch on October 19, 2014, 10:02:15 am
You mean their defense scored too much. That was ridiculous. I had the under too. Never dreamed the defense/ST would put up over 30.

My day would have been pretty good if I would have laid off of the Hogs and GT. Made up for a lot of it by taking ND in the night game though.
Notre Dame ATS would've been a great bet. That GT game was tough to watch...those teams play zero defense. I lost on that one as well.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

DadVader1

Frustrating week.  I went 3-4 on the week for -3 units, making me 26-24-1 and +0.5 units YTD.  It's frustrating for a few reasons.  My semi-final cut went 15-8, yet I managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, and my final cut went 3-4.  Also, on Friday, I went back and forth on whether to add 4 new plays or to put more money into my earlier ones.  The 4 plays that I didn't add went 3-1 and the money that I put into earlier plays went 2-3.  That last decision was based largely on three related trends that had gone 39-11, 39-11, and 39-10 YTD ... they went 2-7, 4-8, and 5-9 yesterday.  The trend that had gone 26-0, went 2-2.

TX A&M +11.5  2 units (added TX A&M +13.5 1 unit)  L
Fresno +17  3 units    W
Wash +21 2 units (added Wash +22 1 unit)  L
Cincy -14 (hook) 2 units (added Cincy -13.5 1 unit)  W
Baylor -8.5 2 units (addeded Bay -9 1 unit)  L
UCLA -7 2 units  L
Kansas + 14 (hook) 2 units  W

It was still a fun weekend of college football.  I loved seeing Kansas State pull off the upset, and Notre Dame at Florida State was a VERY fun game to watch.  I SO wanted David Robinson's son to catch the winning TD at the end of the game, but the penalty was a good call.



jkstock04

October 19, 2014, 10:15:12 am #7771 Last Edit: October 19, 2014, 03:01:33 pm by jkstock04
Gonna play the NFL this week, I have gotten hammered on my NFL picks so I figure I'm due (at least hope so!):
                   
Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 -110, NFL....5 unit bet

Miami Dolphins +3.5 -110 (buy ½ pt), NFL....4 unit bet

Jacksonville Jaguars +6.0 -110, NFL.....2 unit bet

(Monday night game) Pittsburgh Steelers -3.0 -120, NFL....4 unit bet
                   
(Added):

Dallas Cowboys -4.5 -110, NFL....2 unit bet
   
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

SPAL


Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Colts -3 / 3 units
Bears -3 / 3 units
Giants +5.5 / 3 units
Arizona -3 bought the hook / 3 units


Hate today's card as well!
Let's make some waves.

 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Also hate betting 4 games same units on each. Gotta win 3 of 4 or lose money.
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

onebadrubi

ATS:
Redskins
Indy
Seahawks
Cleveland
Baltimore
KC
AZ
San Fran 

I think that was all of them.  Changed up the strategy also.  All same amount plays, with 1 parlay (4 team) and 1 tease(5 team) today, not mixing a team between the two.  Let's see if I've learned my lesson.  Oppps forgot I have a 7 team parlay also on Money lines, started this yesterday and probably will keep doing it.  Bet real small and if you hit one it would be nice. 

clutch

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 19, 2014, 11:58:11 am
ATS:
Redskins
Indy
Seahawks
Cleveland
Baltimore
KC
AZ
San Fran 

I think that was all of them.  Changed up the strategy also.  All same amount plays, with 1 parlay (4 team) and 1 tease(5 team) today, not mixing a team between the two.  Let's see if I've learned my lesson.  Oppps forgot I have a 7 team parlay also on Money lines, started this yesterday and probably will keep doing it.  Bet real small and if you hit one it would be nice. 

Haha I started the small amount ML parlay today too after you mentioned your near win yesterday. Can't hurt to try. I like my chances better than scratch offs lol.m

onebadrubi

Quote from: clutch on October 19, 2014, 12:11:30 pm
Haha I started the small amount ML parlay today too after you mentioned your near win yesterday. Can't hurt to try. I like my chances better than scratch offs lol.m

haha yeah.  It's really nice on saturday when you have many more games and some sure winners to throw in there.  even if the odds are -700, the odds of a 7+teamer can make those start to pay some money. 

It's funny you said the scratch off thing.  I said that yesterday to my gf's dad.  He went and bought (5) 5$ scratchs off and won $170.  I said well damn, lets try this for a few more saturdays and see who wins. 

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

I may need some good reliable online sites guys.  Think two of my guys are gonna drop me.
Let's make some waves.

onebadrubi

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 19, 2014, 01:17:28 pm
I may need some good reliable online sites guys.  Think two of my guys are gonna drop me.
You using in person or online currently?  Why they dropping you?

jkstock04

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 19, 2014, 10:15:12 am
Gonna play the NFL this week, I have gotten hammered on my NFL picks so I figure I'm due (at least hope so!):
                   
Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 -110, NFL....5 unit bet, W

Miami Dolphins +3.5 -110 (buy ½ pt), NFL....4 unit bet, W

Jacksonville Jaguars +6.0 -110, NFL.....2 unit bet, W

(Monday night game) Pittsburgh Steelers -3.0 -120, NFL....4 unit bet
                   
(Added):

Dallas Cowboys -4.5 -110, NFL....2 unit bet, W
   

4-0 on my picks today...and positive 13 units. One helluva day...wish it was always that easy!

Thinking of taking Broncos for the night game and see if I can keep it rolling. Anyone else like Denver?
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 19, 2014, 03:27:37 pm
You using in person or online currently?  Why they dropping you?

Have a couple local guys for 5 unit plays or less. Use a guy in AC and one in Carson City for anything larger than that. Those guys I have no worries.  It's the local that I think are about to let me go.

Let me go for a couple reasons. Mainly I rarely have to pay out, and they also know I have a couple buddies that play with them and use my picks as well.

I used to do a lot online, but have become very skeptical.  Pretty much cut off all online stuff when I got stuck with money in my full tilt piker account I couldn't get out.
Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: jkstock04 on October 19, 2014, 06:42:37 pm
4-0 on my picks today...and positive 13 units. One helluva day...wish it was always that easy!

Thinking of taking Broncos for the night game and see if I can keep it rolling. Anyone else like Denver?

Great day!
Let's make some waves.

onebadrubi

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 19, 2014, 07:50:46 pm
Have a couple local guys for 5 unit plays or less. Use a guy in AC and one in Carson City for anything larger than that. Those guys I have no worries.  It's the local that I think are about to let me go.

Let me go for a couple reasons. Mainly I rarely have to pay out, and they also know I have a couple buddies that play with them and use my picks as well.

I used to do a lot online, but have become very skeptical.  Pretty much cut off all online stuff when I got stuck with money in my full tilt piker account I couldn't get out.

Why couldn't you get it out?  I've recently added an online book or two to my setup just to shop odds and they allow extensive parlays where my guy has shut me down to only 4 team parlays. 

jkstock04

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 19, 2014, 07:50:46 pm
Have a couple local guys for 5 unit plays or less. Use a guy in AC and one in Carson City for anything larger than that. Those guys I have no worries.  It's the local that I think are about to let me go.

Let me go for a couple reasons. Mainly I rarely have to pay out, and they also know I have a couple buddies that play with them and use my picks as well.

I used to do a lot online, but have become very skeptical.  Pretty much cut off all online stuff when I got stuck with money in my full tilt piker account I couldn't get out.
I would recommend 5dimes. I don't use them now because I changed to an actual bookie for convienence sakes. But what was cool about 5dimes was that they had great lines compared to everywhere else. I never had any problems getting paid. I do miss getting those lines...but on those special lines I think max bet was $500 which may be an issue for you. Of course on the normal lines you can bet pretty much whatever you want.

Before that when I used sportsbook I had some issues with the checks not getting processed through my bank due to odd # of digits on the routing number of the check. Had to send them to collections which took a month and would cost an extra 40 or 50 bucks.
Thanks for the F Shack. 

Love,

Dirty Mike and the Boys

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 19, 2014, 07:53:30 pm
Why couldn't you get it out?  I've recently added an online book or two to my setup just to shop odds and they allow extensive parlays where my guy has shut me down to only 4 team parlays. 


Because the govt shut down online real money poker in the US.
Let's make some waves.

onebadrubi

We need a hockey handicapper!!  I barely know the color of the puck and it's shape

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 19, 2014, 09:01:55 pm
We need a hockey handicapper!!  I barely know the color of the puck and it's shape

I'm a huge hockey fan and a decent capper of the sport.
Let's make some waves.

onebadrubi


clutch


onebadrubi

Quote from: clutch on October 19, 2014, 10:31:31 pm
Whew. Tough day.

Same here and don't feel comfortable with tomorrow game.  Time to pay the piper it looks like.  I'm tired of that phone call

clutch

Quote from: onebadrubi on October 19, 2014, 10:34:51 pm
Same here and don't feel comfortable with tomorrow game.  Time to pay the piper it looks like.  I'm tired of that phone call

I don't either. I'm 0 for the season when betting steelers games. Picked them, picked against them, didn't matter.

dffhogs

QuoteI would recommend 5dimes. I don't use them now because I changed to an actual bookie for convienence sakes.
Quote

No local books where I live.  Best online book?

StuartDavin

Another vote for 5dimes here. The payouts have been so much better/easier than any other online book for me. Also they get lines up much earlier than sites like Bovada, so you see some true line movement.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Let's make some waves.

Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson

Will check out 5 dimes. I just don't ever like leaving much money in those type accounts very long ya know.
Let's make some waves.

onebadrubi

Quote from: Jeff "hogfanintx" Anderson on October 20, 2014, 07:13:06 am
Will check out 5 dimes. I just don't ever like leaving much money in those type accounts very long ya know.

5 dimes, bookmaker, and bovada are suppose to be good. 

Hawgndaaz

Thoughts on MNF tonight?

Steelers laying 3 tonight against Texans with Clowney listed as questionable. This somewhat limits Watt, correct?

onebadrubi

Quote from: Hawgndaaz on October 20, 2014, 03:14:51 pm
Thoughts on MNF tonight?

Steelers laying 3 tonight against Texans with Clowney listed as questionable. This somewhat limits Watt, correct?

Why do you think it limits JJ watt?  JJ likes the DE over right tackle position but plays all downed lineman spots.  They have Clowney listed as a LB but I have to think as a passing down rushing 4th or 5th LB.  Clowney and watt will be used together, not seperately in my opinion. 

I have been looking at this game all day long.  I'm not real sure how to play it.  Can't figure out where the public money is taking the line and where Vegas wants you to play it (they can trick you moving ML's to do that).

I think it will be a close game, clean weather in the 50's I believe.  two good running teams each team with one good receiver. 

Steelers have won the last 15 MNF games at home, but the last like 7 primetime games have won like 2.  Steelers can't score once in the RZ while Texans have one of the best RZ defenses.  Steelers collapse in a couple of games offensively this year and defensively against the panthers, yet you want to trust Fitzpatrick with a money bet?  It's difficult here.  Fitzpatrick is awful against the steelers I believe. 

I'm looking at parlaying -3 the the O buying it down as low as I can get the O.  Also looking at teasing the game with Texans +10 and O at 37, could even middle it and throw in steelers +4. The ML doesn't look bad either, but could get steelers at -.5 cheaper.  Im torn... haha